Match details. We have got an international friendly to look forward to. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct at 20:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is a friendly, so there are no points riding on this one.
Form. Ivory Coast have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten games, averaging 1.9 points a game. Their form over the last five reads win, win, loss, win, loss. Cameroon have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, averaging 1.7 points a game. Their last five ended draw, win, win, loss, loss.
The numbers. Ivory Coast score 1.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, keeping three clean sheets. They average 14.2 shots with 3.9 on target, 6.6 corners and 1.1 cards, while keeping 58% of the ball. On the road, Cameroon score 1.3 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six away, keeping one clean sheet. They average 13.8 shots with 2.8 on target, 5.5 corners and 2.2 cards, holding 53% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last four meetings, Ivory Coast have won two, drawn one and lost one. Only one of those four went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in two. Their last meeting on 28 Dec 2025 ended 1-1, where Ivory Coast had 13 shots to 12, 51% of the ball and picked up four yellow cards.
The case against. You cannot completely discount the visitors, as Cameroon's record still gives them a 31% chance to win.
The read. Ivory Coast to win. A tight game. Ivory Coast are the stronger side on form and the table, and both teams' records favour Ivory Coast. Their goals for and against point to a tight game, while their records put over 2.5 goals at 34% and three of the last four meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Ivory Coast or draw and under 2.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Ivory Coast 1UP (the signs point different ways); Ivory Coast Over 0.5 goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Ivory Coast 1-0 Cameroon (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).