RC Deportivo de A Coruna vs Porto
Match details. It's an international friendly. Kick-off is Fri 2 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time. The game is at Estadio Abanca-Riazor, La Coruña.
What's at stake. It's a friendly, so no points ride on it.
Form. Deportivo have four wins, four draws and two defeats in their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five are D L D W W. Porto have nine wins, no draws and one loss in their last ten, 2.7 points a game. Their last five are W W L W W.
The numbers. Deportivo score 1.3 and concede 1.2 a game at home in their last six, with no clean sheets. They average 9.6 shots (3.8 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.2 cards, holding 46% of the ball. Porto score two and concede 0.5 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets. They average 14.5 shots (5.4 on target), 6.2 corners and 0.9 cards, holding 52% of the ball.
The case against. Deportivo's record still gives them a 24% chance to win.
The read. Porto to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Porto the likelier winners; Porto are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Porto. Their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Porto at 1.28, 76% on the records (Porto unbeaten in 9 of 10; RC Deportivo de A Coruna failed to win 4 of 6 at home). Leave: Porto or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Porto or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: RC Deportivo de A Coruna 0-1 Porto (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).