Match details. It's an international friendly at Stadio di Cornaredo in Lugano. Kick-off is Fri 2 Oct, 10:30 Lagos time. No league points are on the line.
What's at stake. It's just a friendly, so there's nothing at stake in terms of points.
Form. Lugano have won seven, drawn three and lost none of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five are W W D W W. Hellas Verona have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five are W L W W D.
The numbers. Lugano average 3.1 goals for and one against a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. They see about 15.0 shots, 4.5 on target, 4.9 corners and 3.5 cards a game, holding 53% of possession. Hellas Verona average 1.2 goals for and 1.4 against in their last five away, with no clean sheets. They manage 14.0 shots, 5.1 on target, 4.9 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
The read. Lugano to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Lugano the likelier winners; Lugano are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Lugano. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Lugano 2-1 Hellas Verona (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Lugano or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LUG 10 of 10 (100%) · HEL 5 of 5 (100%)100%
Lugano: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Hellas Verona: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · each game weighed by who it was against
Lugano or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
LUG 10 of 10 (100%) · HEL 5 of 5 (100%)98.4%
Lugano: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Hellas Verona: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · each game weighed by who it was against
Lugano or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LUG 9 of 10 (90%) · HEL 2 of 5 (40%)69%
Lugano: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Hellas Verona: the bet landed in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 81% · each game weighed by who it was against
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LUG 10 of 10 (100%) · HEL 5 of 5 (100%)100%
Lugano: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Hellas Verona: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · each game weighed by who it was against
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.21
LUG 9 of 10 (90%) · HEL 5 of 5 (100%)92.8%
Lugano: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Hellas Verona: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · each game weighed by who it was against
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.69
LUG 8 of 10 (80%) · HEL 2 of 5 (40%)60.8%
Lugano: over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Hellas Verona: over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 63% · each game weighed by who it was against
LUGANO GOALS
Lugano Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LUG 10 of 10 (100%) · HEL 5 of 5 (100%)98.4%
Lugano scored in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Hellas Verona conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · each game weighed by who it was against
Lugano Over 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
2.20
LUG 8 of 10 (80%) · HEL 1 of 5 (20%)51.9%
Lugano scored over 1.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Hellas Verona conceded over 1.5 in 1 of 5 away · both last 10: 57% · each game weighed by who it was against
HELLAS VERONA GOALS
Hellas Verona Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LUG 5 of 5 (100%) · HEL 8 of 10 (80%)85.5%
Hellas Verona scored in 5 of 5 away · Lugano conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · each game weighed by who it was against
Hellas Verona Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES
1.52
LUG 4 of 5 (80%) · HEL 8 of 10 (80%)79.2%
Hellas Verona scored under 1.5 in 4 of 5 away · Lugano conceded under 1.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · each game weighed by who it was against
HALVES
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LUG 7 of 10 (70%) · HEL 4 of 5 (80%)68.5%
Lugano: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Hellas Verona: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 58% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LUG 6 of 8 (75%) · HEL 6 of 8 (75%)76.7%
Lugano's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Hellas Verona's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · each game weighed by who it was against
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.7%
Lugano goals →
Hellas Verona goals ↓
0-04%
1-07%
2-09%
3-07%
4-04%
5-02%
0-13%
1-19%
2-110%
3-18%
4-14%
5-12%
0-22%
1-25%
2-25%
3-24%
4-22%
5-21%
0-30.7%
1-32%
2-32%
3-32%
4-30.9%
5-30.4%
0-40.2%
1-40.5%
2-40.5%
3-40.4%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.0%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
LUGANODWWDWWWDWW2.40 PPG
HELLAS VERONADLDLLDWWLW1.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
LUGANO HOMExHELLAS VERONA AWAY
3.10SCORED A GAME1.401.00CONCEDED A GAME1.3020%CLEAN SHEETS10%0%FAILED TO SCORE0%4.88CORNERS A GAME4.883.50CARDS A GAME2.751.44xG1.621.32xG AGAINST1.84
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.80POINTS A GAME1.40+2.10GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.60+4.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–2.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.410LEAGUE GAMES5
Lugano: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
LUGANO 2:0 HANDICAP
–
389 OF 413
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
94%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
88%
VERY GOOD · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
74%
NO · 85/90
LUGANO OR DRAW
92%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
HELLAS VERONA OR DRAW
31%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
LUGANOxHELLAS VERONA
5GAMES52.80SCORED A GAME2.000.80CONCEDED A GAME1.403.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%60%BOTH SCORE80%5.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–9.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Lugano have scored in 100% of their games.
Hellas Verona have scored in 80% of their games.
Lugano kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Hellas Verona kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetscornerscards