Match details. Super League 2, Regular Season - 5. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Panthrakikos FC Komotini are 6th on 7 points after 4 games, 1 point behind Ellas Syros, 1 point clear of Panserraikos. A win would take them above Ellas Syros. Panserraikos FC are 7th on 6 points after 4 games, 1 point behind Panthrakikos, 2 points clear of Apollon Pontou. A win would take them above Panthrakikos.
Form. Panthrakikos FC Komotini have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D L. Panserraikos FC have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W L.
The numbers. Panthrakikos FC Komotini score two and concede 0.2 a game in their last six at home, with five clean sheets. Panthrakikos FC Komotini average 10.6 shots (5.0 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.8 cards a game. Panserraikos FC score 0.4 and concede 3.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Panserraikos FC average 8.1 shots (3.5 on target), 3.2 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last five meetings Panthrakikos FC Komotini have won one, drawn two and lost two. Two of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, Panthrakikos FC Komotini won one, one was drawn and Panserraikos FC won two. The last time they met, on 19 Aug 2026, it finished Panthrakikos FC Komotini 1-2 Panserraikos FC.
Where it pulls both ways. Panthrakikos FC Komotini are the form side, but the meetings favour Panserraikos FC: in the last five meetings, Panthrakikos FC Komotini won one, Panserraikos FC won two and two were drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%; three of the last five meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Panthrakikos FC Komotini Over 0.5 goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Panthrakikos FC Komotini 2-0 Panserraikos FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).