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SCOTLAND - SCOTTISH CUP
Cumnock crestCUMCUM
19:30Fri 2 Oct
AUCAuchinleck Talbot crestAT

Cumnock vs Auchinleck Talbot

CLASS D
THE READ

Match details. Scottish Cup, 1st Round. Kick-off is Fri 2 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Cumnock have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W. Auchinleck Talbot have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W D.

The numbers. Cumnock score 2.6 and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. Auchinleck Talbot score 2.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal.

Head to head. Auchinleck Talbot have won all of the last two meetings. Two of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 26 Sep 2026, it finished Cumnock 0-4 Auchinleck Talbot.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Cumnock the likelier winners, but Auchinleck Talbot are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Cumnock.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Cumnock or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Auchinleck Talbot or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Cumnock 2-1 Auchinleck Talbot (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CUM 5 of 5 (100%) · AUC 5 of 5 (100%)100%
Cumnock: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Auchinleck Talbot: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Cumnock: only games against sides at Auchinleck Talbot's level · Auchinleck Talbot: only games against sides at Cumnock's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CUM 4 of 5 (80%) · AUC 5 of 5 (100%)88.3%
Cumnock: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Auchinleck Talbot: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · Cumnock: only games against sides at Auchinleck Talbot's level · Auchinleck Talbot: only games against sides at Cumnock's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.45
CUM 2 of 5 (40%) · AUC 5 of 5 (100%)69%
Cumnock: over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 at home · Auchinleck Talbot: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · Cumnock: only games against sides at Auchinleck Talbot's level · Auchinleck Talbot: only games against sides at Cumnock's level
CUMNOCK GOALS
Cumnock Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.22
CUM 5 of 5 (100%) · AUC 4 of 5 (80%)86.7%
Cumnock scored in 5 of 5 at home · Auchinleck Talbot conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Cumnock: only games against sides at Auchinleck Talbot's level · Auchinleck Talbot: only games against sides at Cumnock's level
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.24
CUM 4 of 5 (80%) · AUC 5 of 5 (100%)85%
Cumnock: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Auchinleck Talbot: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · Cumnock: only games against sides at Auchinleck Talbot's level · Auchinleck Talbot: only games against sides at Cumnock's level
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.13
CUM 4 of 5 (80%) · AUC 4 of 5 (80%)83.3%
Cumnock: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Auchinleck Talbot: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · Cumnock: only games against sides at Auchinleck Talbot's level · Auchinleck Talbot: only games against sides at Cumnock's level
Left off the list: Cumnock or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Auchinleck Talbot or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Double Chance: Cumnock or Auchinleck Talbot (no result call); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Auchinleck Talbot or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Cumnock or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 9.6%
Cumnock goals →
Auchinleck Talbot goals ↓
0-04%
1-07%
2-07%
3-05%
4-03%
5-01%
0-14%
1-110%
2-110%
3-17%
4-13%
5-11%
0-23%
1-26%
2-26%
3-24%
4-22%
5-20.9%
0-31%
1-33%
2-33%
3-32%
4-30.9%
5-30.4%
0-40.4%
1-40.8%
2-40.8%
3-40.6%
4-40.3%
5-40.1%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
CUMNOCKWDLDLWWWWL1.70 PPG
AUCHINLECK TALBOTWWLWWDWLLW1.90 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CUMNOCK HOMExAUCHINLECK TALBOT AWAY
2.50SCORED A GAME2.901.80CONCEDED A GAME1.2040%CLEAN SHEETS30%10%FAILED TO SCORE27%
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2
CUMNOCK 0 · 0%DRAW 0AUCHINLECK TALBOT 2 · 100%
2025-09-26Cumnock 1 – 2 Auchinleck Talbot
2026-09-26Cumnock 0 – 4 Auchinleck Talbot
TRENDS
Cumnock failed to score in 10% of their games.
Auchinleck Talbot failed to score in 27% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to head
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