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INTERNATIONAL - UEFA NATIONS LEAGUE
Kosovo crestKOSKOS
17:00Sun 4 Oct
AUTAustria crestAUS

Kosovo vs Austria

CLASS A
THE READ

Match details. This is a UEFA Nations League B, 4 clash on Sun 4 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time at Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri in Pristina. Antonio Nobre will referee.

What's at stake. Kosovo sit second with 4 points from three games, three behind Austria and level with Rep. Of Ireland. A win would put them level on points with Austria. Austria lead the group on 7 points, three clear of Kosovo.

Form. Kosovo's last ten yield five wins, three draws and two losses, 1.8 points a game, and their recent five are D L W L W. Austria have four wins, three draws and three defeats in their last ten, 1.5 points a game, with a recent run of D W W L D.

The numbers. At home in their last five Kosovo score 0.8 and concede 0.4 a game, keep three clean sheets and have been shut out twice, averaging 10.4 shots (3.7 on target), 2.6 corners, 2.1 cards and 53% possession. Away Austria score 1.2 and concede 1.8 a game, with one clean sheet and three goalless outings, averaging 9.7 shots (3.9 on target), 3.5 corners, 1.6 cards and 54% possession.

Head to head. The last meeting on 27 Sep 2026 ended Kosovo 1-3 Austria; Kosovo managed six shots to Austria's eleven, held 48% of the ball and received four yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. Their xG suggests an open game and both sides' records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their xG points to an open game.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Kosovo or Both Teams Score (no side to back); Kosovo or Draw (1UP) (no side to back); Kosovo or Over 1.5 Goals (no side to back). Predicted score: Kosovo 2-1 Austria (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.30
KOS 2 of 5 (40%) · AUT 6 of 6 (100%)75.7%
Kosovo: over 1.5 goals in 2 of 5 at home · Austria: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Austria: only games against sides at Kosovo's level · each game weighed by who it was against
KOSOVO GOALS
Kosovo Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES
1.36
KOS 3 of 5 (60%) · AUT 6 of 6 (100%)59%
Kosovo scored in 3 of 5 at home · Austria conceded in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Austria: only games against sides at Kosovo's level · each game weighed by who it was against
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.25
KOS 3 of 5 (60%) · AUT 6 of 6 (100%)83.6%
Kosovo: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Austria: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · on half-time scores · Austria: only games against sides at Kosovo's level · each game weighed by who it was against
CARDS
Over 1.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
KOS 5 of 5 (100%) · AUT 4 of 6 (67%)82.4%
Kosovo's games: over 1.5 cards in 5 of 5 at home · Austria's games: over 1.5 cards in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Austria: only games against sides at Kosovo's level · each game weighed by who it was against
Left off the list: Kosovo or Both Teams Score (no side to back); Kosovo or Draw (1UP) (no side to back); Kosovo or Over 1.5 Goals (no side to back); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 9.8%
Kosovo goals →
Austria goals ↓
0-07%
1-011%
2-010%
3-06%
4-02%
5-00.8%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-16%
4-12%
5-10.8%
0-23%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.3%
1-40.5%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
KOSOVOWDWWDWLWLD1.80 PPG
AUSTRIALWDWLDLWWD1.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
KOSOVO HOMExAUSTRIA AWAY
1.20SCORED A GAME1.700.80CONCEDED A GAME1.5060%CLEAN SHEETS10%33%FAILED TO SCORE0%2.60CORNERS A GAME3.502.10CARDS A GAME1.60
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 1
KOSOVO 0 · 0%DRAW 0AUSTRIA 1 · 100%
2026-09-27Kosovo 1 – 3 Austria
TRENDS
Kosovo have scored in 70% of their games.
Austria have scored in 70% of their games.
Kosovo kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
Austria kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
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