Dangjin Citizen vs Gyeongju FC
Match details. K3 League, Regular Season - 23. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 06:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Dangjin Citizen are 6th on 31 points after 22 games, 1 point behind Gyeongju HNP, 1 point clear of Chuncheon. A win would take them above Gyeongju HNP. Gyeongju FC are 5th on 32 points after 22 games, 5 points behind Busan Transportation, 1 point clear of Dangjin Citizen. Dangjin Citizen have nothing left to play for. Gyeongju FC have nothing left to play for.
Form. Dangjin Citizen have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W. In this competition Dangjin Citizen have gone W L L W W D. Gyeongju FC have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W. In this competition Gyeongju FC have gone W W W D W W.
The numbers. Dangjin Citizen score 2.8 and concede 1.7 a game in their last ten at home, with one clean sheet. Dangjin Citizen average 4.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Gyeongju FC score 1.6 and concede 1.1 a game in their last seven away, with two clean sheets. Gyeongju FC average 2.8 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last three meetings Dangjin Citizen have won none, drawn one and lost two. Two of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 10 May 2026, it finished Dangjin Citizen 2-2 Gyeongju FC.
The case against. Gyeongju FC's record still gives them 42% to win.
The read. Dangjin Citizen to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Dangjin Citizen the likelier winners; Dangjin Citizen are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%. Two of the last three meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.18, 83% on the records (Dangjin Citizen: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 at home; Gyeongju FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7 away). Leave: Gyeongju FC or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Dangjin Citizen); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Dangjin Citizen 2-1 Gyeongju FC (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).