Changwon City FC vs Yangpyeong FC
Match details. K3 League, Regular Season - 23. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 06:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Changwon City FC are 10th on 26 points after 22 games, 1 point behind Gangneung City, 1 point clear of Yeoju Sejong. A win would take them above Gangneung City. Yangpyeong FC are 13th on 17 points after 22 games, 4 points behind Mokpo City, 7 points clear of Jeonbuk Motors II. Changwon City FC have nothing left to play for. Yangpyeong FC have nothing left to play for.
Form. Changwon City FC have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L D. In this competition Changwon City FC have gone L L L L D D. Yangpyeong FC have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D L. In this competition Yangpyeong FC have gone L L L D L W.
The numbers. Changwon City FC score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Changwon City FC average 6.8 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Yangpyeong FC score 1.7 and concede 2.4 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Yangpyeong FC average 4.8 corners and 3.1 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings Changwon City FC have won four, drawn one and lost two. One of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, Changwon City FC won two, one was drawn and Yangpyeong FC won one. The last time they met, on 9 May 2026, it finished Changwon City FC 0-1 Yangpyeong FC.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%; six of the last seven meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%. Six of the last seven meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Changwon City FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Changwon City FC or Both Teams Score (no result call). Predicted score: Changwon City FC 1-1 Yangpyeong FC (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).