Wydad Temara vs Union Touarga
Match details. Botola Pro D1. Kick-off is Fri 2 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Wydad Temara have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W D. Union Touarga have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W W.
The numbers. Wydad Temara score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Wydad Temara average 14.4 shots (4.4 on target), 1.0 corners and 3.4 cards a game. Union Touarga score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Union Touarga average 10.7 shots (4.6 on target), 3.0 corners and 3.5 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Union Touarga or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Union Touarga or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Union Touarga 1UP (the call is a draw). Predicted score: Wydad Temara 1-1 Union Touarga (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).