Martinique vs Honduras
Match details. CONCACAF Nations League. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 01:00 Lagos time.
Form. Martinique have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L D. Honduras have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L W.
The numbers. Martinique score 0.7 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. Martinique average 4.0 corners and 0.8 cards a game. Honduras score 0.3 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Honduras average 11.0 shots (4.1 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 25%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.30, 83% on the records (Martinique: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10; Honduras: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 6 away). The safer one: Martinique Under 1.5 Goals at 1.27 (90%). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.10. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Honduras or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Honduras (Draw No Bet) (no result call). Predicted score: Martinique 0-0 Honduras (20% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).