Match details. CONCACAF Nations League clash on Sat 3 Oct, 01:00 Lagos time.
Form. Bonaire have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five are L L L L W. Grenada have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five are L L L L W.
The numbers. Bonaire score 0.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. They average 1.8 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Grenada score 1.4 and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. They average 8.3 shots (4.1 on target), 5.7 corners and 1.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The case against. Bonaire's record still gives them 35% to win.
The read. Grenada to win. Grenada are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Grenada.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Bonaire 0-1 Grenada (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).