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INTERNATIONAL - CONCACAF NATIONS LEAGUE
Suriname crestSURSUR
23:00Fri 2 Oct
GUAGuatemala crestGUA

Suriname vs Guatemala

CLASS A
THE READ

Match details. CONCACAF Nations League, League A - 2. Kick-off is Fri 2 Oct, 23:00 Lagos time. The game is at Dr. Ir. Franklin Essed Stadion, Paramaribo.

Form. Suriname have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L W. Guatemala have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L W.

The numbers. Suriname score 1.5 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. They average 10.7 shots (4.2 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. Guatemala score 1.2 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. They average 14.6 shots (4.1 on target), 3.0 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 47% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last two meetings Suriname have won none, drawn one and lost one. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 19 Nov 2025, it finished Suriname 1-3 Guatemala: Suriname had 9 shots to 22, 51% of the ball, two yellow cards.

The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often; their goals for and against point to a tight game, and their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Suriname or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Guatemala or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Suriname 1-1 Guatemala (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.13
SUR 9 of 10 (90%) · GUA 5 of 6 (83%)90%
Suriname: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Guatemala: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 79% · each game weighed by who it was against
SURINAME GOALS
Suriname Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.24
SUR 8 of 10 (80%) · GUA 5 of 6 (83%)78.1%
Suriname scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Guatemala conceded in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 84% · each game weighed by who it was against
GUATEMALA GOALS
Guatemala Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.35
SUR 6 of 6 (100%) · GUA 7 of 10 (70%)72.4%
Guatemala scored in 6 of 6 away · Suriname conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · each game weighed by who it was against
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.23
SUR 8 of 10 (80%) · GUA 5 of 6 (83%)81.1%
Suriname: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Guatemala: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 83% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Suriname or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Guatemala or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.3%
Suriname goals →
Guatemala goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.6%
1-40.9%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
SURINAMEWWLLWDDWDD1.60 PPG
GUATEMALAWLWLWDDLLD1.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
SURINAME HOMExGUATEMALA AWAY
1.50SCORED A GAME1.801.10CONCEDED A GAME1.3030%CLEAN SHEETS20%4.00CORNERS A GAME3.001.17CARDS A GAME1.57
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2
SURINAME 0 · 0%DRAW 1GUATEMALA 1 · 50%
2025-10-10Suriname 1 – 1 Guatemala
2025-11-19Suriname 1 – 3 Guatemala
TRENDS
Suriname have scored in 80% of their games.
Guatemala have scored in 90% of their games.
Suriname kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Guatemala kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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