DPDUK

17:00Fri 2 Oct

FKJ

Dukla Prague vs FK Jablonec

CLASS A

THE READ

Match details. Dukla Prague host FK Jablonec at Stadion Juliska in Praha for this Czech Cup Round of 32 tie. Kick-off is on Fri 2 Oct at 17:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, and we will go to penalties if it is level at the end.

Form. Dukla Prague are in great nick, winning six, drawing two and losing two of their last ten matches, averaging 2.0 points a game. They have gone W W in this cup and are unbeaten in five with a D W W W W run. FK Jablonec are struggling, winning four, drawing two and losing four of their last ten, averaging 1.4 points a game. Their last five went D L W L D.

The numbers. Dukla Prague score 2.4 and concede 1.3 goals a game over their last ten, keeping three clean sheets. FK Jablonec score 0.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. FK Jablonec average 16.1 shots with 4.1 on target, 4.9 corners and 1.5 cards a game, keeping 54% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last seven meetings, Dukla Prague won one, drew one and lost five. Four of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both sides scored in four. In the last four, Dukla Prague won one, one was drawn and FK Jablonec won two. They last met on 14 Mar 2026, ending Dukla Prague 2-0 FK Jablonec, where the hosts had 10 shots to 20, 38% of the ball and three yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. Dukla Prague are definitely the form side, but the head-to-head record heavily favours FK Jablonec. In the last seven meetings, Dukla Prague won just one, FK Jablonec won five and one was drawn.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the head-to-head record point in different directions, so I cannot back either side here. Their goals for and against point to an open game, and their records put over 2.5 goals at a 55% chance. Indeed, four of the last seven meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FK Jablonec or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Dukla Prague or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Dukla Prague 2-1 FK Jablonec (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.39

DUK 10 of 10 (100%) · FKJ 4 of 5 (80%)78.7%

Dukla Prague: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FK Jablonec: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 6

FK JABLONEC GOALS

FK Jablonec Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.23

DUK 2 of 5 (40%) · FKJ 7 of 10 (70%)65%

FK Jablonec scored in 2 of 5 away · Dukla Prague conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 4 of 6

HALVES

Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.31

DUK 7 of 10 (70%) · FKJ 4 of 5 (80%)70%

Dukla Prague: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FK Jablonec: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 3 of 6 · on half-time scores

Left off the list: FK Jablonec or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Dukla Prague or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.9%

Dukla Prague goals →

FK Jablonec goals ↓

0-06%

1-09%

2-010%

3-06%

4-03%

5-01%

0-15%

1-111%

2-110%

3-16%

4-13%

5-11%

0-23%

1-25%

2-25%

3-23%

4-22%

5-20.6%

0-30.9%

1-32%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.6%

5-30.2%

0-40.2%

1-40.5%

2-40.5%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.1%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

DUKLA PRAGUEDWWLLWWWWD2.00 PPG

FK JABLONECWWWLLDLWLD1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

DUKLA PRAGUE HOMExFK JABLONEC AWAY

2.40SCORED A GAME1.101.30CONCEDED A GAME1.0030%CLEAN SHEETS30%0%FAILED TO SCORE22%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

2.00POINTS A GAME1.38+0.62GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.12–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.02.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.08LEAGUE GAMES8

Dukla Prague: the quality side - more points a game, better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

99%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

56%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

99%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

DUKLA PRAGUE OR DRAW

78%

NO · 80/85

FK JABLONEC OR DRAW

33%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

DUKLA PRAGUExFK JABLONEC

5GAMES52.20SCORED A GAME1.201.60CONCEDED A GAME1.203.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.4100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%100%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%100%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.2–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 7

DUKLA PRAGUE 1 · 14%DRAW 1FK JABLONEC 5 · 71%

4 of 7BOTH TEAMS SCORED

6 of 7OVER 1.5 GOALS

4 of 7OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 7OVER 3.5 GOALS

2018-11-03Dukla Prague 2 – 6 FK Jablonec

2019-04-14Dukla Prague 1 – 2 FK Jablonec

2024-08-10Dukla Prague 0 – 2 FK Jablonec

2024-12-07Dukla Prague 1 – 2 FK Jablonec

2025-10-19Dukla Prague 0 – 0 FK Jablonec

2025-10-28Dukla Prague 1 – 2 FK Jablonec

2026-03-14Dukla Prague 2 – 0 FK Jablonec

TRENDS

Dukla Prague have scored in 100% of their games.

FK Jablonec have scored in 70% of their games.

Dukla Prague kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

FK Jablonec kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to head