Match details. Division 2, Norra Götaland - 24. Kick-off is Mon 5 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Herrestads AIF are 6th on 34 points after 23 games, 5 points behind Grebbestad, 1 point clear of Stenungsund. Grebbestads IF are 5th on 39 points after 23 games, 4 points behind Ahlafors, 5 points clear of Herrestads. Herrestads AIF have nothing left to play for. Grebbestads IF have nothing left to play for.
Form. Herrestads AIF have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D W. In this competition Herrestads AIF have gone L W L D W W. Grebbestads IF have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L L. In this competition Grebbestads IF have gone W W W L L D.
The numbers. Herrestads AIF score 1.8 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Herrestads AIF average 4.2 corners and 1.3 cards a game. Grebbestads IF score two and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Grebbestads IF average 4.5 corners and 0.6 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Herrestads AIF have won five, drawn two and lost two. Six of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Herrestads AIF won two, one was drawn and Grebbestads IF won one. The last time they met, on 18 Apr 2026, it finished Herrestads AIF 1-2 Grebbestads IF.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Grebbestads IF are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Herrestads AIF; the meetings favour Herrestads AIF.
The case against. Grebbestads IF's record still gives them 37% to win.
The read. Herrestads AIF or the draw. An open game. Grebbestads IF are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Herrestads AIF; the meetings favour Herrestads AIF. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 80%. Six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Herrestads AIF 2-1 Grebbestads IF (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).