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COLOMBIA - TORNEO DIMAYOR
CD Real Santander crestCRCDR
21:30Sat 3 Oct
UNIUnion Magdalena crestUM

CD Real Santander vs Union Magdalena

CLASS D
THE READ

Match details. Torneo DIMAYOR, Clausura - 12. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 21:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Villa Concha, Piedecuesta.

What's at stake. CD Real Santander are 10th on 12 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Quindio, 1 point clear of Envigado. A win would take them above Quindio. Union Magdalena are 15th on 8 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Leones FC, level on points with Barranquilla. A win would take them above Leones FC.

Form. CD Real Santander have won two, drawn six and lost two of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L D W. In this competition CD Real Santander have gone D D L D W W. Union Magdalena have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L W. In this competition Union Magdalena have gone D W L L W L.

The numbers. CD Real Santander score 1.6 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Union Magdalena score 0.8 and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings CD Real Santander have won one, drawn two and lost seven. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, CD Real Santander won one and Union Magdalena won three. The last time they met, on 26 Mar 2026, it finished CD Real Santander 0-2 Union Magdalena.

Where it pulls both ways. CD Real Santander are the form side, but the meetings favour Union Magdalena: in the last ten meetings, CD Real Santander won one, Union Magdalena won seven and two were drawn.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CD Real Santander or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Union Magdalena or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CD Real Santander 1-1 Union Magdalena (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.09
CDR 5 of 5 (100%) · UNI 5 of 5 (100%)95.3%
CD Real Santander: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Union Magdalena: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 5 of 6 · CD Real Santander: only games against sides at Union Magdalena's level · Union Magdalena: only games against sides at CD Real Santander's level
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDR 5 of 5 (100%) · UNI 5 of 5 (100%)95.3%
CD Real Santander: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Union Magdalena: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 5 of 6 · CD Real Santander: only games against sides at Union Magdalena's level · Union Magdalena: only games against sides at CD Real Santander's level
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.27
CDR 2 of 5 (40%) · UNI 5 of 5 (100%)70.5%
CD Real Santander: under 3.5 goals in 2 of 5 at home · Union Magdalena: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 3 of 6 · CD Real Santander: only games against sides at Union Magdalena's level · Union Magdalena: only games against sides at CD Real Santander's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.72
CDR 2 of 5 (40%) · UNI 3 of 5 (60%)52.2%
CD Real Santander: under 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 at home · Union Magdalena: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · H2H 3 of 6 · CD Real Santander: only games against sides at Union Magdalena's level · Union Magdalena: only games against sides at CD Real Santander's level
CD REAL SANTANDER GOALS
CD Real Santander Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES
1.39
CDR 4 of 5 (80%) · UNI 4 of 5 (80%)67.5%
CD Real Santander scored in 4 of 5 at home · Union Magdalena conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 3 of 6 · CD Real Santander: only games against sides at Union Magdalena's level · Union Magdalena: only games against sides at CD Real Santander's level
HALVES
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.16
CDR 4 of 5 (80%) · UNI 3 of 5 (60%)73.3%
CD Real Santander: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Union Magdalena: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · CD Real Santander: only games against sides at Union Magdalena's level · Union Magdalena: only games against sides at CD Real Santander's level
Under 1.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.35
CDR 4 of 5 (80%) · UNI 3 of 5 (60%)65%
CD Real Santander: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Union Magdalena: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 3 of 6 · on half-time scores · CD Real Santander: only games against sides at Union Magdalena's level · Union Magdalena: only games against sides at CD Real Santander's level
Left off the list: CD Real Santander or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Union Magdalena or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.8%
CD Real Santander goals →
Union Magdalena goals ↓
0-011%
1-012%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-19%
1-114%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-25%
1-27%
2-24%
3-22%
4-20.6%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-32%
2-31%
3-30.6%
4-30.2%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.6%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
CD REAL SANTANDERLDDDWWDLDD1.20 PPG
UNION MAGDALENADLDLLWLLWD0.90 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CD REAL SANTANDER HOMExUNION MAGDALENA AWAY
1.20SCORED A GAME0.601.50CONCEDED A GAME1.0030%CLEAN SHEETS30%40%FAILED TO SCORE27%
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.00POINTS A GAME0.75-0.57GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.38–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.41.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.07LEAGUE GAMES8
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
53%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
32%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
96%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
CD REAL SANTANDER OR DRAW
86%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
UNION MAGDALENA OR DRAW
45%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CD REAL SANTANDERxUNION MAGDALENA
5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME0.800.80CONCEDED A GAME1.001.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.860%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
CD REAL SANTANDER 1 · 10%DRAW 2UNION MAGDALENA 7 · 70%
3 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
7 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
4 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
4 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2020-11-09CD Real Santander 0 – 0 Union Magdalena
2020-11-14CD Real Santander 0 – 1 Union Magdalena
2021-02-20CD Real Santander 0 – 1 Union Magdalena
2021-07-31CD Real Santander 3 – 3 Union Magdalena
2022-03-30CD Real Santander 1 – 3 Union Magdalena
2022-04-06CD Real Santander 1 – 5 Union Magdalena
2024-03-16CD Real Santander 2 – 0 Union Magdalena
2024-08-31CD Real Santander 0 – 4 Union Magdalena
TRENDS
CD Real Santander failed to score in 40% of their games.
Union Magdalena failed to score in 27% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague table
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