Match details. We have got an international friendly coming up. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Since it is a friendly, there are no points riding on this one.
Form. Canada have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, getting 1.8 points a game. Their last five matches have gone L, W, L, W, D. Peru have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, with 0.9 points a game. Their last five went L, L, D, D, L.
The numbers. At home, Canada score 2.6 and concede 0.9 a game in their last seven, with three clean sheets. They average 12.4 shots, 4.8 on target, 8.0 corners and 2.1 cards, with 58% of the ball. Peru score none and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and five games without a goal. They average 9.8 shots, 3.2 on target, 2.8 corners and 1.9 cards, with 44% of the ball.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 26 Jun 2024, it finished Canada 1-0 Peru. Canada had five shots to nine, 51% of the ball and one yellow card.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals, as their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The read. Canada to win. A draw is live. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Canada the likelier winners. Canada are the stronger side on form and the table, and both teams' records favour Canada. Still, their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The bets. Best bet: Canada or Draw at 1.13, 82% on the records (Canada unbeaten in 6 of 7 at home; Peru failed to win 5 of 5 away). Backup: Under 2.5 first-half goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Both Teams to Score - No (the signs point different ways); Peru Under 0.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Under 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Canada 1-0 Peru (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).