Match details. 3rd Division, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time. It is played at ALPI Arena Naesby, Odense.
What's at stake. Naesby BK are 6th on 14 points after 9 games, 2 points behind ASA Aarhus, 1 point clear of Holstebro. A win would take them above ASA Aarhus. Holstebro BK are 7th on 13 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Næsby, 3 points clear of Sundby. A win would take them above Næsby.
Form. Naesby BK have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L W. Holstebro BK have won two, drawn none and lost eight of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L.
The numbers. Naesby BK score 2.1 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Holstebro BK score 0.6 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Naesby BK have won five, drawn none and lost three. Three of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Naesby BK won one and Holstebro BK won three. The last time they met, on 3 Nov 2024, it finished Naesby BK 2-0 Holstebro BK.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%; five of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Holstebro BK's record still gives them 39% to win.
The read. Naesby BK to win. Their goals for and against make Naesby BK the likelier winners; Naesby BK are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Naesby BK.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Naesby BK (Draw No Bet) (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Naesby BK 2-1 Holstebro BK (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Naesby BK or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NAE 6 of 8 (75%) · HOL 6 of 6 (100%)86.5%
Naesby BK: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Holstebro BK: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 5 of 6 · Naesby BK: only games against sides at Holstebro BK's level · Holstebro BK: only games against sides at Naesby BK's level
Naesby BK or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NAE 5 of 8 (62%) · HOL 6 of 6 (100%)77.6%
Naesby BK: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Holstebro BK: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 4 of 6 · Naesby BK: only games against sides at Holstebro BK's level · Holstebro BK: only games against sides at Naesby BK's level
Naesby BK or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
NAE 5 of 8 (62%) · HOL 6 of 6 (100%)77.6%
Naesby BK: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Holstebro BK: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 4 of 6 · Naesby BK: only games against sides at Holstebro BK's level · Holstebro BK: only games against sides at Naesby BK's level
2nd Half - Double Chance: Naesby BK or DrawPAGE ONLY
1.22
NAE 5 of 8 (62%) · HOL 5 of 6 (83%)71.4%
Naesby BK: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Holstebro BK: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Naesby BK: only games against sides at Holstebro BK's level · Holstebro BK: only games against sides at Naesby BK's level
Naesby BK or Draw & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NAE 4 of 8 (50%) · HOL 4 of 6 (67%)56.3%
Naesby BK: the bet landed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Holstebro BK: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 58% · H2H 3 of 6 · Naesby BK: only games against sides at Holstebro BK's level · Holstebro BK: only games against sides at Naesby BK's level
Naesby BK Win & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NAE 3 of 8 (38%) · HOL 4 of 6 (67%)51.6%
Naesby BK: the bet landed in 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Holstebro BK: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 52% · H2H 3 of 6 · Naesby BK: only games against sides at Holstebro BK's level · Holstebro BK: only games against sides at Naesby BK's level
Naesby BK to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.76
NAE 3 of 8 (38%) · HOL 4 of 6 (67%)51.6%
Naesby BK won 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Holstebro BK lost 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 52% · H2H 3 of 6 · Naesby BK: only games against sides at Holstebro BK's level · Holstebro BK: only games against sides at Naesby BK's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NAE 7 of 8 (88%) · HOL 6 of 6 (100%)95.3%
Naesby BK: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Holstebro BK: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 6 of 6 · Naesby BK: only games against sides at Holstebro BK's level · Holstebro BK: only games against sides at Naesby BK's level
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NAE 6 of 8 (75%) · HOL 6 of 6 (100%)90.6%
Naesby BK: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Holstebro BK: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 6 of 6 · Naesby BK: only games against sides at Holstebro BK's level · Holstebro BK: only games against sides at Naesby BK's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NAE 6 of 8 (75%) · HOL 6 of 6 (100%)86.5%
Naesby BK: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Holstebro BK: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 5 of 6 · Naesby BK: only games against sides at Holstebro BK's level · Holstebro BK: only games against sides at Naesby BK's level
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.35
NAE 5 of 8 (62%) · HOL 5 of 6 (83%)79.7%
Naesby BK: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Holstebro BK: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · H2H 6 of 6 · Naesby BK: only games against sides at Holstebro BK's level · Holstebro BK: only games against sides at Naesby BK's level
NAESBY BK GOALS
Naesby BK Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NAE 5 of 8 (62%) · HOL 6 of 6 (100%)77.6%
Naesby BK scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Holstebro BK conceded in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 4 of 6 · Naesby BK: only games against sides at Holstebro BK's level · Holstebro BK: only games against sides at Naesby BK's level
Naesby BK Over 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.47
NAE 4 of 8 (50%) · HOL 5 of 6 (83%)62.5%
Naesby BK scored over 1.5 in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Holstebro BK conceded over 1.5 in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · H2H 3 of 6 · Naesby BK: only games against sides at Holstebro BK's level · Holstebro BK: only games against sides at Naesby BK's level
HOLSTEBRO BK GOALS
Holstebro BK Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NAE 4 of 6 (67%) · HOL 7 of 8 (88%)74.5%
Holstebro BK scored in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Naesby BK conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · H2H 4 of 6 · Holstebro BK: only games against sides at Naesby BK's level · Naesby BK: only games against sides at Holstebro BK's level
Holstebro BK Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.47
NAE 4 of 6 (67%) · HOL 5 of 8 (62%)65.1%
Holstebro BK scored under 1.5 in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Naesby BK conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 4 of 6 · Holstebro BK: only games against sides at Naesby BK's level · Naesby BK: only games against sides at Holstebro BK's level
Left off the list: Naesby BK (Draw No Bet) (the numbers (79%) and the records (56%) are 23 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.5%
Naesby BK goals →
Holstebro BK goals ↓
0-03%
1-06%
2-08%
3-06%
4-04%
5-02%
0-13%
1-18%
2-19%
3-18%
4-15%
5-12%
0-22%
1-25%
2-26%
3-24%
4-23%
5-21%
0-30.8%
1-32%
2-32%
3-32%
4-31%
5-30.5%
0-40.2%
1-40.5%
2-40.6%
3-40.5%
4-40.3%
5-40.1%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
NAESBY BKLDWWLWLLDW1.40 PPG
HOLSTEBRO BKWLLLLLWLLL0.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
NAESBY BK HOMExHOLSTEBRO BK AWAY
2.10SCORED A GAME1.101.60CONCEDED A GAME2.3020%CLEAN SHEETS0%33%FAILED TO SCORE22%
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.56POINTS A GAME1.50+0.22GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.25–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.69LEAGUE GAMES8
Naesby BK: the quality side - better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
93%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
81%
VERY GOOD · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
67%
NO · 85/90
NAESBY BK OR DRAW
80%
NO · 80/85
HOLSTEBRO BK OR DRAW
50%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
NAESBY BKxHOLSTEBRO BK
5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME1.001.80CONCEDED A GAME2.603.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%80%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 8
NAESBY BK 5 · 62%DRAW 0HOLSTEBRO BK 3 · 38%
3 of 8BOTH TEAMS SCORED
6 of 8OVER 1.5 GOALS
3 of 8OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 8OVER 3.5 GOALS
2020-11-08Naesby BK 5 – 1 Holstebro BK
2021-05-01Naesby BK 1 – 0 Holstebro BK
2022-09-03Naesby BK 2 – 0 Holstebro BK
2023-03-12Naesby BK 2 – 1 Holstebro BK
2023-09-30Naesby BK 1 – 2 Holstebro BK
2024-03-28Naesby BK 0 – 1 Holstebro BK
2024-08-10Naesby BK 0 – 2 Holstebro BK
2024-11-03Naesby BK 2 – 0 Holstebro BK
TRENDS
Naesby BK have scored in 70% of their games.
Holstebro BK have scored in 70% of their games.
Naesby BK kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Holstebro BK kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague table