Jahn Regensburg vs WSG Tirol
Match details. Jahn Regensburg face WSG Tirol in an international friendly. Kick-off is on Thu 1 Oct at 13:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Since this is a friendly, there are no points at stake.
Form. Jahn Regensburg have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, picking up 0.8 points a game. Their last five matches have gone D L D L L. WSG Tirol are in better shape with four wins, two draws and four defeats in their last ten, averaging 1.4 points a game. Their last five ended L D W W W.
The numbers. At home, Jahn Regensburg score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game over their last five, keeping no clean sheets and failing to score in two. They average 11.4 shots with 4.8 on target, 4.8 corners and 2.8 cards a game. Away from home, WSG Tirol score 2.3 and concede 1.1 a game in their last seven, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. They average 10.5 shots with 4.0 on target, 4.8 corners and 1.8 cards.
Where it pulls both ways. For me, this is a game where the prices and the records disagree. The odds board makes it 42%, but the records have it at 62%.
The read. No firm call: WSG Tirol are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Both teams' records favour WSG Tirol, who look like the likelier winners based on goals for and against. They are also the stronger side on form and the table. Those goals for and against point to an open game, and their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Jahn Regensburg 1-2 WSG Tirol (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).