Match details. Segunda Federacion. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time.
Form. RCD Mallorca B have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D D. CD Alcoyano have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D D.
The numbers. RCD Mallorca B score 2.7 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. RCD Mallorca B average 11.6 shots (4.9 on target), 5.7 corners and 1.6 cards a game. CD Alcoyano score 0.8 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and five games without a goal. CD Alcoyano average 10.6 shots (3.9 on target), 6.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
The case against. CD Alcoyano's record still gives them 20% to win.
The read. RCD Mallorca B to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make RCD Mallorca B the likelier winners; RCD Mallorca B are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 25%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: RCD Mallorca B 1-0 CD Alcoyano (15% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).