Match details. FA Cup, 3rd Round Qualifying. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Trafford FC have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L L. In this competition Trafford FC have gone W W. Atherton Collieries have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L L. In this competition Atherton Collieries have gone W W.
The numbers. Trafford FC score one and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Trafford FC average 4.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Atherton Collieries score 1.4 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal.
Head to head. In the last five meetings Trafford FC have won two, drawn none and lost three. Three of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Trafford FC won one and Atherton Collieries won three. The last time they met, on 24 Jan 2026, it finished Trafford FC 4-1 Atherton Collieries.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 31% against the records' 58%.
The read. No firm call: Atherton Collieries are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Atherton Collieries are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Atherton Collieries. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 71%. Three of the last five meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Trafford FC 1-2 Atherton Collieries (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).