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ENGLAND - FA CUP
Tonbridge Angels crestTATON
15:00Sat 3 Oct
TORTorquay United crestTU

Tonbridge Angels vs Torquay United

CLASS D
THE READ

Match details. FA Cup, 3rd Round Qualifying. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Tonbridge Angels have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L W. In this competition Tonbridge Angels have gone W. Torquay United have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W W. In this competition Torquay United have gone W.

The numbers. Tonbridge Angels score 1.5 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Torquay United score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal.

Head to head. In the last eight meetings Tonbridge Angels have won three, drawn one and lost four. Six of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Tonbridge Angels won one and Torquay United won three. The last time they met, on 15 Aug 2026, it finished Tonbridge Angels 1-2 Torquay United.

The case against. A knockout game (3rd Round Qualifying) with penalties if level, and Torquay United are not clearly stronger. Tonbridge Angels's record still gives them 37% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%. Not everything agrees on goals: six of the last eight meetings went over 2.5.

The read. Torquay United or the draw. A tight game. Both teams' records favour Torquay United; the meetings favour Torquay United.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Tonbridge Angels or Under 2.5 Goals (the call backs Torquay United); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Tonbridge Angels 1-1 Torquay United (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Torquay United or Under 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.32
TON 4 of 5 (80%) · TOR 4 of 5 (80%)74.8%
Torquay United: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Tonbridge Angels: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 72% · H2H 4 of 6 · Torquay United: only games against sides at Tonbridge Angels's level · Tonbridge Angels: only games against sides at Torquay United's level · the call is Torquay United or the draw: a knockout game (3rd Round Qualifying) with penalties if level, and Torquay United a
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.18
TON 4 of 5 (80%) · TOR 5 of 5 (100%)91.1%
Tonbridge Angels: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Torquay United: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · H2H 5 of 6 · Tonbridge Angels: only games against sides at Torquay United's level · Torquay United: only games against sides at Tonbridge Angels's level
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.54
TON 4 of 5 (80%) · TOR 4 of 5 (80%)83.1%
Tonbridge Angels: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Torquay United: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 67% · H2H 5 of 6 · Tonbridge Angels: only games against sides at Torquay United's level · Torquay United: only games against sides at Tonbridge Angels's level
TONBRIDGE ANGELS GOALS
Tonbridge Angels Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES
1.29
TON 3 of 5 (60%) · TOR 4 of 5 (80%)59.6%
Tonbridge Angels scored in 3 of 5 at home · Torquay United conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 78% · H2H 4 of 6 · Tonbridge Angels: only games against sides at Torquay United's level · Torquay United: only games against sides at Tonbridge Angels's level
Left off the list: Tonbridge Angels or Under 2.5 Goals (the call backs Torquay United); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 12.3%
Tonbridge Angels goals →
Torquay United goals ↓
0-06%
1-08%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-17%
1-112%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-25%
1-28%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-34%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.2%
0-40.8%
1-41%
2-40.9%
3-40.5%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
TONBRIDGE ANGELSLWLDWWLDWL1.40 PPG
TORQUAY UNITEDWDLDLWWDWL1.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
TONBRIDGE ANGELS HOMExTORQUAY UNITED AWAY
1.70SCORED A GAME1.801.20CONCEDED A GAME1.4020%CLEAN SHEETS20%20%FAILED TO SCORE40%
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.40POINTS A GAME1.30+0.80GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00-1.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.410LEAGUE GAMES10
Tonbridge Angels: the quality side - a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
81%
OKAY · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
59%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
92%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
TONBRIDGE ANGELS OR DRAW
37%
NO · 80/85
TORQUAY UNITED OR DRAW
61%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
TONBRIDGE ANGELSxTORQUAY UNITED
5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME1.201.60CONCEDED A GAME1.403.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 8
TONBRIDGE ANGELS 3 · 38%DRAW 1TORQUAY UNITED 4 · 50%
6 of 8BOTH TEAMS SCORED
6 of 8OVER 1.5 GOALS
6 of 8OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 8OVER 3.5 GOALS
2021-12-18Tonbridge Angels 2 – 1 Torquay United
2023-12-02Tonbridge Angels 1 – 2 Torquay United
2024-03-16Tonbridge Angels 4 – 1 Torquay United
2024-11-09Tonbridge Angels 0 – 0 Torquay United
2025-03-08Tonbridge Angels 0 – 1 Torquay United
2025-12-06Tonbridge Angels 2 – 1 Torquay United
2026-04-25Tonbridge Angels 1 – 2 Torquay United
2026-08-15Tonbridge Angels 1 – 2 Torquay United
TRENDS
Tonbridge Angels have scored in 80% of their games.
Torquay United have scored in 60% of their games.
Tonbridge Angels kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Torquay United kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to head
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