Tadley Calleva vs Dartford FC
Match details. FA Cup, 3rd Round Qualifying. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Tadley Calleva have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W. In this competition Tadley Calleva have gone W W L W W W. Dartford FC have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W.
The numbers. Tadley Calleva score 3.2 and concede 2.8 a game in their last six at home, with no clean sheets. Dartford FC score two and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 75% against the records' 49%.
The read. No firm call: Dartford FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Dartford FC the likelier winners; Dartford FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Dartford FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 77%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Tadley Calleva 1-2 Dartford FC (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).