Spennymoor Town FC vs Chester FC
Match details. FA Cup, 3rd Round Qualifying. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Spennymoor Town FC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D L L. In this competition Spennymoor Town FC have gone W. Chester FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L D. In this competition Chester FC have gone W.
The numbers. Spennymoor Town FC score 1.2 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Spennymoor Town FC average 3.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Chester FC score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Spennymoor Town FC have won four, drawn two and lost four. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Spennymoor Town FC won one and Chester FC won three. The last time they met, on 28 Feb 2026, it finished Spennymoor Town FC 1-2 Chester FC.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. A knockout game (3rd Round Qualifying) with penalties if level, and Chester FC are not clearly stronger. Spennymoor Town FC's record still gives them 23% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The read. Chester FC or the draw. A tight game. Chester FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Chester FC; the meetings favour Chester FC. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Chester FC at 1.40, 77% on the records (Chester FC unbeaten in 6 of 9; Spennymoor Town FC failed to win 4 of 5 at home). Full cover: Spennymoor Town FC Over 0.5 Goals at 1.29. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Spennymoor Town FC 1-1 Chester FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).