MWMUL

15:00Sat 3 Oct

GLO

Mulbarton Wanderers vs Gloucester City

CLASS D

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THE BETLIVELY · NOT IN CODES

TOTAL GOALS

Class D

MWv

Under 3.5 Goals

Mulbarton Wanderers v Gloucester City

England - FA Cup · 15:00

1.44odds

69%book

+2edge

1/1angles

THE READ

Match details. FA Cup, 3rd Round Qualifying. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Mulbarton Wanderers have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L D. In this competition Mulbarton Wanderers have gone W W L D W W. Gloucester City have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W D.

The numbers. Mulbarton Wanderers score 1.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Gloucester City score two and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.44, 62% on the records (Mulbarton Wanderers: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; Gloucester City: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 10). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Mulbarton Wanderers or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Gloucester City or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Mulbarton Wanderers 1-1 Gloucester City (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsBACKUPIN CODES

1.17

MUL 5 of 5 (100%) · GLO 8 of 10 (80%)91.2%

Mulbarton Wanderers: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Gloucester City: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%

Under 3.5 GoalsMAINPAGE ONLY

1.44

MUL 3 of 5 (60%) · GLO 6 of 10 (60%)71.3%

Mulbarton Wanderers: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Gloucester City: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65%

GLOUCESTER CITY GOALS

Gloucester City Over 0.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 85%

1.18

MUL 10 of 10 (100%) · GLO 2 of 5 (40%)64.2%

Gloucester City scored in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mulbarton Wanderers conceded in 2 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85%

Left off the list: Mulbarton Wanderers or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Gloucester City or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12.1%

Mulbarton Wanderers goals →

Gloucester City goals ↓

0-06%

1-07%

2-06%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-17%

1-112%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-26%

1-28%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.3%

0-33%

1-34%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.2%

0-41.0%

1-41%

2-41%

3-40.5%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.3%

1-50.4%

2-50.3%

3-50.2%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

MULBARTON WANDERERSDLWWWDLLWW1.70 PPG

GLOUCESTER CITYWDLDWDWLWD1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

MULBARTON WANDERERS HOMExGLOUCESTER CITY AWAY

1.50SCORED A GAME2.001.30CONCEDED A GAME1.3029%CLEAN SHEETS40%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.20POINTS A GAME1.00+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.11–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.05LEAGUE GAMES9

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

79%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

70%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

85%

OKAY · 85/90

MULBARTON WANDERERS OR DRAW

68%

NO · 80/85

GLOUCESTER CITY OR DRAW

67%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

MULBARTON WANDERERSxGLOUCESTER CITY

5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME2.201.40CONCEDED A GAME2.202.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%40%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Mulbarton Wanderers have scored in 71% of their games.

Gloucester City have scored in 100% of their games.

Mulbarton Wanderers kept a clean sheet in 29% of their games.

Gloucester City kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheets