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ENGLAND - FA CUP
Marine FC crestMFMAR
15:00Sat 3 Oct
WARWarrington Town crestWT

Marine FC vs Warrington Town

CLASS D
THE READ

Match details. FA Cup, 3rd Round Qualifying. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Marine FC have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L L. In this competition Marine FC have gone W. Warrington Town have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W D.

The numbers. Marine FC score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Warrington Town score 2.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Warrington Town average 7.8 shots (2.6 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.2 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last five meetings Marine FC have won three, drawn one and lost one. Two of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, Marine FC won two, one was drawn and Warrington Town won one. The last time they met, on 18 Apr 2025, it finished Marine FC 1-0 Warrington Town.

Where it pulls both ways. Warrington Town are the form side, but the meetings favour Marine FC: in the last five meetings, Marine FC won three, Warrington Town won one and one was drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%; three of the last five meetings went under 2.5.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Three of the last five meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Marine FC 1-1 Warrington Town (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.13
MAR 4 of 5 (80%) · WAR 3 of 5 (60%)85%
Marine FC: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Warrington Town: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 5
MARINE FC GOALS
Marine FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.18
MAR 3 of 5 (60%) · WAR 4 of 5 (80%)73.1%
Marine FC scored in 3 of 5 at home · Warrington Town conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 4 of 5
WARRINGTON TOWN GOALS
Warrington Town Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.49
MAR 5 of 5 (100%) · WAR 4 of 5 (80%)51.8%
Warrington Town scored in 5 of 5 away · Marine FC conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90% · H2H 1 of 5
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 11.2%
Marine FC goals →
Warrington Town goals ↓
0-05%
1-06%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.8%
5-00.2%
0-17%
1-111%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-26%
1-29%
2-27%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-33%
1-35%
2-34%
3-32%
4-30.7%
5-30.2%
0-41%
1-42%
2-42%
3-40.7%
4-40.3%
5-40.1%
0-50.5%
1-50.7%
2-50.5%
3-50.3%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
MARINE FCLLWWLLLWWW1.50 PPG
WARRINGTON TOWNWWLDWDWLWD1.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
MARINE FC HOMExWARRINGTON TOWN AWAY
1.50SCORED A GAME2.301.30CONCEDED A GAME1.6010%CLEAN SHEETS30%40%FAILED TO SCORE0%
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.00POINTS A GAME2.11-0.33GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.22–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.89LEAGUE GAMES9
Warrington Town: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
80%
OKAY · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
55%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
97%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
MARINE FC OR DRAW
27%
NO · 80/85
WARRINGTON TOWN OR DRAW
82%
OKAY · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
MARINE FCxWARRINGTON TOWN
5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME2.201.00CONCEDED A GAME0.601.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.860%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%20%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 5
MARINE FC 3 · 60%DRAW 1WARRINGTON TOWN 1 · 20%
1 of 5BOTH TEAMS SCORED
3 of 5OVER 1.5 GOALS
2 of 5OVER 2.5 GOALS
0 of 5OVER 3.5 GOALS
2021-09-18Marine FC 3 – 0 Warrington Town
2022-12-26Marine FC 0 – 0 Warrington Town
2023-04-10Marine FC 1 – 2 Warrington Town
2025-01-01Marine FC 2 – 0 Warrington Town
2025-04-18Marine FC 1 – 0 Warrington Town
TRENDS
Marine FC have scored in 70% of their games.
Warrington Town have scored in 90% of their games.
Marine FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Warrington Town kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to head
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