Match details. FA Cup, 3rd Round Qualifying. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Leatherhead FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W W. In this competition Leatherhead FC have gone W W. Hanworth Villa have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L. In this competition Hanworth Villa have gone W W.
The numbers. Leatherhead FC score two and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Hanworth Villa score 2.7 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Leatherhead FC have won three, drawn four and lost one. Three of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Leatherhead FC won two and two were drawn. The last time they met, on 14 Feb 2026, it finished Leatherhead FC 3-3 Hanworth Villa.
Where it pulls both ways. Hanworth Villa are the form side, but the meetings favour Leatherhead FC: in the last eight meetings, Leatherhead FC won three, Hanworth Villa won one and four were drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 71%; five of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 71%.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Five of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Leatherhead FC 1-1 Hanworth Villa (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).