Kettering Town vs Worcester City
Match details. FA Cup, 3rd Round Qualifying. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Kettering Town have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W. Worcester City have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W L.
The numbers. Kettering Town score 2.3 and concede 0.3 a game in their last six at home, with four clean sheets. Worcester City score 0.8 and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Worcester City average 2.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Kettering Town have won one, drawn one and lost none. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 11 Apr 2026, it finished Kettering Town 2-1 Worcester City.
The case against. A knockout game (3rd Round Qualifying) with penalties if level, and Kettering Town are not clearly stronger.
The read. Kettering Town or the draw. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Kettering Town the likelier winners; Kettering Town are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 33%.
The bets. Best bet: Kettering Town or Draw at 1.30, 83% on the records (Kettering Town unbeaten in 5 of 6; Worcester City failed to win 5 of 6). Backup: Under 5.5 Goals at 1.10. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Kettering Town or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Kettering Town 1-0 Worcester City (16% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).