EUEBB

15:00Sat 3 Oct

SHO

Ebbsfleet United FC vs Sholing FC

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. FA Cup, 3rd Round Qualifying. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Ebbsfleet United FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D D. In this competition Ebbsfleet United FC have gone W. Sholing FC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W. In this competition Sholing FC have gone W W.

The numbers. Ebbsfleet United FC score 1.7 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Sholing FC score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 76% against the records' 45%.

The read. No firm call: Ebbsfleet United FC are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Ebbsfleet United FC the likelier winners; Ebbsfleet United FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Ebbsfleet United FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Ebbsfleet United FC 1-1 Sholing FC (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.09

EBB 10 of 10 (100%) · SHO 9 of 10 (90%)96.2%

Ebbsfleet United FC: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sholing FC: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95%

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.25

EBB 10 of 10 (100%) · SHO 9 of 10 (90%)90%

Ebbsfleet United FC: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sholing FC: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95%

Under 3.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.61

EBB 7 of 10 (70%) · SHO 7 of 10 (70%)65%

Ebbsfleet United FC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sholing FC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.2%

Ebbsfleet United FC goals →

Sholing FC goals ↓

0-010%

1-013%

2-010%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-24%

1-26%

2-24%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-31%

1-32%

2-31%

3-30.6%

4-30.2%

5-30.1%

0-40.3%

1-40.4%

2-40.3%

3-40.1%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

EBBSFLEET UNITED FCWLWLWDDWWD1.80 PPG

SHOLING FCLWDLLWWLWW1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

EBBSFLEET UNITED FC HOMExSHOLING FC AWAY

1.70SCORED A GAME1.200.70CONCEDED A GAME1.2040%CLEAN SHEETS70%20%FAILED TO SCORE12%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

2.20POINTS A GAME1.25+1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.38–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–2.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.25LEAGUE GAMES8

Ebbsfleet United FC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

EBBSFLEET UNITED FC 2:0 HANDICAP

–

389 OF 413

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

84%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

44%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

94%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

EBBSFLEET UNITED FC OR DRAW

78%

NO · 80/85

SHOLING FC OR DRAW

60%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

EBBSFLEET UNITED FCxSHOLING FC

5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME1.400.80CONCEDED A GAME2.002.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.4100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%80%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Ebbsfleet United FC have scored in 70% of their games.

Sholing FC have scored in 80% of their games.

Ebbsfleet United FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Sholing FC kept a clean sheet in 70% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheets