DWDOR

15:00Sat 3 Oct

CHA

Dorking Wanderers vs Chatham Town

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. FA Cup, 3rd Round Qualifying. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Dorking Wanderers have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D D D. In this competition Dorking Wanderers have gone D. Chatham Town have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W W. In this competition Chatham Town have gone W W.

The numbers. Dorking Wanderers score 2.4 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Dorking Wanderers average 5.0 corners and 5.0 cards a game. Chatham Town score 1.7 and concede one a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 76%.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Dorking Wanderers 1-1 Chatham Town (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.11

DOR 7 of 10 (70%) · CHA 6 of 6 (100%)88.8%

Dorking Wanderers: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Chatham Town: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 85%

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.29

DOR 5 of 10 (50%) · CHA 6 of 6 (100%)78.8%

Dorking Wanderers: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Chatham Town: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 65%

HALVES

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

DOR 8 of 10 (80%) · CHA 5 of 6 (83%)82.8%

Dorking Wanderers: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Chatham Town: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 10.1%

Dorking Wanderers goals →

Chatham Town goals ↓

0-04%

1-05%

2-05%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-15%

1-110%

2-18%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.7%

0-25%

1-28%

2-27%

3-24%

4-22%

5-20.6%

0-33%

1-35%

2-34%

3-32%

4-31.0%

5-30.3%

0-41%

1-42%

2-42%

3-41.0%

4-40.4%

5-40.1%

0-50.4%

1-50.7%

2-50.6%

3-50.3%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

DORKING WANDERERSDWLWWDDDDW1.70 PPG

CHATHAM TOWNWWWLLWWLWL1.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

DORKING WANDERERS HOMExCHATHAM TOWN AWAY

2.40SCORED A GAME2.101.70CONCEDED A GAME1.3020%CLEAN SHEETS30%20%FAILED TO SCORE12%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.60POINTS A GAME1.29+0.60GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.210LEAGUE GAMES7

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

78%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

83%

VERY GOOD · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

53%

NO · 85/90

DORKING WANDERERS OR DRAW

79%

NO · 80/85

CHATHAM TOWN OR DRAW

32%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

DORKING WANDERERSxCHATHAM TOWN

5GAMES52.60SCORED A GAME1.802.20CONCEDED A GAME1.804.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%80%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Dorking Wanderers have scored in 100% of their games.

Chatham Town have scored in 90% of their games.

Dorking Wanderers kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Chatham Town kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards