Match details. FA Cup, 3rd Round Qualifying. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Crowborough Athletic have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D L. Wimborne Town have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W D. In this competition Wimborne Town have gone D D.
The numbers. Crowborough Athletic score 2.2 and concede 2.6 a game over their last five, with no clean sheets. Crowborough Athletic average 1.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Wimborne Town score 1.4 and concede 0.4 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and four games without a goal.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 59% against the records' 30%.
The read. No firm call: Wimborne Town are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Wimborne Town the likelier winners; Wimborne Town are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Crowborough Athletic or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Wimborne Town). Predicted score: Crowborough Athletic 1-2 Wimborne Town (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).