CUCHE

15:00Sat 3 Oct

REA

Chesham United vs Real Bedford

CLASS D

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. FA Cup, 3rd Round Qualifying. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Chesham United have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L. In this competition Chesham United have gone W. Real Bedford have won nine, drawn none and lost one of their last ten, 2.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W. In this competition Real Bedford have gone W W.

The numbers. Chesham United score 2.4 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Real Bedford score 2.9 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 85%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Real Bedford or Over 2.5 Goals (no side to back); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Real Bedford win or both teams score (no side to back). Predicted score: Chesham United 1-2 Real Bedford (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.16

CHE 5 of 5 (100%) · REA 10 of 10 (100%)92.5%

Chesham United: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Real Bedford: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95%

Over 2.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 69%

1.44

CHE 4 of 5 (80%) · REA 9 of 10 (90%)89.7%

Chesham United: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Real Bedford: over 2.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.46

CHE 3 of 5 (60%) · REA 8 of 10 (80%)65%

Chesham United: both scored in 3 of 5 at home · Real Bedford: both scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%

CHESHAM UNITED GOALS

Chesham United Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.14

CHE 4 of 5 (80%) · REA 9 of 10 (90%)82.5%

Chesham United scored in 4 of 5 at home · Real Bedford conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%

REAL BEDFORD GOALS

Real Bedford Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.22

CHE 9 of 10 (90%) · REA 4 of 5 (80%)76.2%

Real Bedford scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Chesham United conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85%

HALVES

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CHE 5 of 5 (100%) · REA 8 of 10 (80%)88.3%

Chesham United: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Real Bedford: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores

OTHER

Over/Under & GG/NG: Over 2.5 & YesLEANIN CODES

1.59

CHE 3 of 5 (60%) · REA 8 of 10 (80%)58.8%

Chesham United: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Real Bedford: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%

Left off the list: Real Bedford or Over 2.5 Goals (no side to back); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Real Bedford win or both teams score (no side to back); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Real Bedford or Over 1.5 Goals (no side to back)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 7.7%

Chesham United goals →

Real Bedford goals ↓

0-02%

1-02%

2-02%

3-01%

4-00.5%

5-00.2%

0-13%

1-16%

2-15%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-24%

1-28%

2-27%

3-24%

4-22%

5-20.6%

0-34%

1-37%

2-36%

3-33%

4-31%

5-30.5%

0-43%

1-44%

2-44%

3-42%

4-40.9%

5-40.3%

0-51%

1-52%

2-52%

3-51%

4-50.5%

5-50.2%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

CHESHAM UNITEDLLWWDLLWWL1.30 PPG

REAL BEDFORDWWWWWWWWLW2.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CHESHAM UNITED HOMExREAL BEDFORD AWAY

2.30SCORED A GAME2.901.80CONCEDED A GAME1.3020%CLEAN SHEETS10%30%FAILED TO SCORE0%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.30POINTS A GAME2.67+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.89–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.410LEAGUE GAMES9

Real Bedford: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

REAL BEDFORD 0:2 HANDICAP

–

373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

96%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

89%

VERY GOOD · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

53%

NO · 85/90

CHESHAM UNITED OR DRAW

38%

NO · 80/85

REAL BEDFORD OR DRAW

76%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

CHESHAM UNITEDxREAL BEDFORD

5GAMES52.00SCORED A GAME2.802.20CONCEDED A GAME1.604.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.4100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%100%OVER 2.5 GOALS100%80%BOTH SCORE100%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Chesham United have scored in 80% of their games.

Real Bedford have scored in 90% of their games.

Chesham United kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Real Bedford kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheets