CCCAM

15:00Sat 3 Oct

ALV

ALV

Cambridge City vs Alvechurch

CLASS D

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THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

DOUBLE CHANCE

Class D

CCv

ALV

Double Chance: Draw or Alvechurch

Cambridge City v Alvechurch

England - FA Cup · 15:00

1.31odds

76%book

+6edge

1/1angles

THE READ

Match details. FA Cup, 3rd Round Qualifying. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Cambridge City have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W D. In this competition Cambridge City have gone W W. Alvechurch have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W W. In this competition Alvechurch have gone W W.

The numbers. Cambridge City score 2.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Alvechurch score two and concede 0.5 a game over their last ten, with seven clean sheets.

Head to head. The last time they met, on 28 Oct 2017, it finished Cambridge City 0-2 Alvechurch.

The case against. A knockout game (3rd Round Qualifying) with penalties if level, and Alvechurch are not clearly stronger. Cambridge City's record still gives them 24% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%.

The read. Alvechurch or the draw. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Alvechurch the likelier winners; Alvechurch are the stronger side on form and the table.

The bets. Best bet: Draw or Alvechurch at 1.31, 76% on the records (Alvechurch unbeaten in 9 of 10; Cambridge City failed to win 4 of 6 at home). Backup: Under 5.5 Goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Cambridge City 1-1 Alvechurch (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Double Chance: Draw or AlvechurchMAININ CODES

1.31

CAM 9 of 10 (90%) · ALV 4 of 6 (67%)81.7%

Alvechurch unbeaten in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Cambridge City failed to win 4 of 6 at home · both last 10: 70%

Alvechurch (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY

1.42

CAM 7 of 8 (88%) · ALV 2 of 7 (29%)73.8%

Alvechurch won 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Cambridge City lost 2 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 58% · won 3, refunded 4, lost 2

Alvechurch or Under 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

1.28

CAM 8 of 10 (80%) · ALV 3 of 6 (50%)72.5%

Alvechurch: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Cambridge City: the bet landed in 3 of 6 at home · both last 10: 60% · the call is Alvechurch or the draw: a knockout game (3rd Round Qualifying) with penalties if level, and Alvechurch are not clearly stronger (rule 8)

Alvechurch or draw and under 3.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

2.05

CAM 3 of 6 (50%) · ALV 6 of 10 (60%)63.8%

Cambridge City: the bet landed in 3 of 6 at home · Alvechurch: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 45%

Alvechurch to WinTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

1.88

CAM 7 of 10 (70%) · ALV 1 of 6 (17%)58.7%

Alvechurch won 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Cambridge City lost 1 of 6 at home · both last 10: 45% · the call is Alvechurch or the draw: a knockout game (3rd Round Qualifying) with penalties if level, and Alvechurch are not clearly stronger (rule 8)

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsBACKUPIN CODES

1.09

CAM 5 of 6 (83%) · ALV 10 of 10 (100%)93.3%

Cambridge City: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · Alvechurch: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.24

CAM 5 of 6 (83%) · ALV 10 of 10 (100%)92.1%

Cambridge City: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · Alvechurch: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%

Under 3.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.60

CAM 3 of 6 (50%) · ALV 7 of 10 (70%)68.7%

Cambridge City: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 6 at home · Alvechurch: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 55%

CAMBRIDGE CITY GOALS

Cambridge City Under 1.5 goalsPAGE ONLY

1.50

CAM 3 of 6 (50%) · ALV 8 of 10 (80%)71.3%

Cambridge City scored under 1.5 in 3 of 6 at home · Alvechurch conceded under 1.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 55%

ALVECHURCH GOALS

Alvechurch Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.15

CAM 9 of 10 (90%) · ALV 5 of 6 (83%)83.3%

Alvechurch scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Cambridge City conceded in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 85%

HALVES

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CAM 5 of 6 (83%) · ALV 8 of 10 (80%)82.8%

Cambridge City: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · Alvechurch: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12.5%

Cambridge City goals →

Alvechurch goals ↓

0-07%

1-07%

2-04%

3-01%

4-00.4%

5-00.1%

0-110%

1-112%

2-17%

3-12%

4-10.7%

5-10.1%

0-29%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.5%

5-20.1%

0-35%

1-35%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-42%

1-42%

2-41%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.6%

1-50.7%

2-50.4%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

CAMBRIDGE CITYDWDWLDWWLW1.80 PPG

ALVECHURCHWWWWWWWDLD2.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CAMBRIDGE CITY HOMExALVECHURCH AWAY

2.70SCORED A GAME2.001.20CONCEDED A GAME0.5010%CLEAN SHEETS70%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.80POINTS A GAME2.22+1.60GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.44–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.25LEAGUE GAMES9

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

91%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

63%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

90%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

CAMBRIDGE CITY OR DRAW

58%

NO · 80/85

ALVECHURCH OR DRAW

56%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

CAMBRIDGE CITYxALVECHURCH

5GAMES53.00SCORED A GAME1.801.40CONCEDED A GAME0.404.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.2100%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 1

CAMBRIDGE CITY 0 · 0%DRAW 0ALVECHURCH 1 · 100%

2017-10-28Cambridge City 0 – 2 Alvechurch

TRENDS

Cambridge City have scored in 80% of their games.

Alvechurch have scored in 90% of their games.

Cambridge City kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Alvechurch kept a clean sheet in 70% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to head