BTBUR

15:00Sat 3 Oct

SPA

Bury Town FC vs Spalding United

CLASS D

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THE BETLIVELY · NOT IN CODES

TOTAL GOALS

Class D

BTv

Under 3.5 Goals

Bury Town FC v Spalding United

England - FA Cup · 15:00

1.45odds

69%book

+1edge

1/1angles

THE READ

Match details. FA Cup, 3rd Round Qualifying. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Bury Town FC have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W L. In this competition Bury Town FC have gone W W. Spalding United have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W. In this competition Spalding United have gone W.

The numbers. Bury Town FC score 2.5 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Spalding United score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal.

Head to head. Spalding United have won all of the last two meetings. Two of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 25 Nov 2025, it finished Bury Town FC 1-2 Spalding United.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 31% against the records' 55%.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.

The read. No firm call: Bury Town FC are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Bury Town FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Bury Town FC.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.45, 60% on the records (Bury Town FC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 10; Spalding United: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10). Backup: Bury Town FC Over 0.5 Goals at 1.32. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Bury Town FC 1-1 Spalding United (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.17

BUR 5 of 10 (50%) · SPA 10 of 10 (100%)81.2%

Bury Town FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Spalding United: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%

Under 3.5 GoalsMAINPAGE ONLY

1.45

BUR 4 of 10 (40%) · SPA 8 of 10 (80%)70%

Bury Town FC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Spalding United: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60%

BURY TOWN FC GOALS

Bury Town FC Over 0.5 goalsBACKUPIN CODES

1.32

BUR 9 of 10 (90%) · SPA 7 of 10 (70%)72.5%

Bury Town FC scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Spalding United conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%

SPALDING UNITED GOALS

Spalding United Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES

1.20

BUR 7 of 10 (70%) · SPA 8 of 10 (80%)68.8%

Spalding United scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Bury Town FC conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%

HALVES

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BUR 9 of 10 (90%) · SPA 5 of 10 (50%)70%

Bury Town FC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Spalding United: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 11.4%

Bury Town FC goals →

Spalding United goals ↓

0-05%

1-06%

2-05%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-16%

1-111%

2-18%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-26%

1-28%

2-27%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-33%

1-34%

2-33%

3-32%

4-30.7%

5-30.2%

0-41%

1-42%

2-41%

3-40.7%

4-40.3%

5-40.1%

0-50.4%

1-50.6%

2-50.4%

3-50.2%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

BURY TOWN FCWWWWWLWWLW2.40 PPG

SPALDING UNITEDLDLWDWWWWL1.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

BURY TOWN FC HOMExSPALDING UNITED AWAY

2.50SCORED A GAME1.401.70CONCEDED A GAME0.8020%CLEAN SHEETS30%11%FAILED TO SCORE30%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

2.44POINTS A GAME1.20+1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.20–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–2.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.69LEAGUE GAMES10

Bury Town FC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

48%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

38%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

97%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

BURY TOWN FC OR DRAW

81%

OKAY · 80/85

SPALDING UNITED OR DRAW

30%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

BURY TOWN FCxSPALDING UNITED

5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME1.401.40CONCEDED A GAME0.803.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.260%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

BURY TOWN FC 0 · 0%DRAW 0SPALDING UNITED 2 · 100%

2025-09-23Bury Town FC 1 – 2 Spalding United

2025-11-25Bury Town FC 1 – 2 Spalding United

TRENDS

Bury Town FC have scored in 90% of their games.

Spalding United have scored in 70% of their games.

Bury Town FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Spalding United kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to head