BFBUR

15:00Sat 3 Oct

BRO

Bury FC vs Bromsgrove Sporting

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. FA Cup, 3rd Round Qualifying. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Bury FC have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W. In this competition Bury FC have gone W W. Bromsgrove Sporting have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W W. In this competition Bromsgrove Sporting have gone W W.

The numbers. Bury FC score four and concede 0.6 a game in their last seven at home, with four clean sheets. Bury FC average 6.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Bromsgrove Sporting score 1.7 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Bury FC the likelier winners, but both teams' records favour Bromsgrove Sporting.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Bury FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Bromsgrove Sporting or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Bury FC 2-1 Bromsgrove Sporting (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.15

BUR 5 of 7 (71%) · BRO 7 of 10 (70%)71.6%

Bury FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7 at home · Bromsgrove Sporting: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.51

BUR 5 of 7 (71%) · BRO 5 of 10 (50%)51.6%

Bury FC: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 7 at home · Bromsgrove Sporting: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60%

HALVES

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BUR 7 of 7 (100%) · BRO 5 of 10 (50%)73.3%

Bury FC: the bet landed in 7 of 7 at home · Bromsgrove Sporting: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Bury FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Bromsgrove Sporting or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Bury FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Bromsgrove Sporting or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Double Chance: Bury FC or Bromsgrove Sporting (no result call)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.9%

Bury FC goals →

Bromsgrove Sporting goals ↓

0-05%

1-09%

2-09%

3-06%

4-03%

5-01.0%

0-15%

1-111%

2-110%

3-16%

4-13%

5-11%

0-23%

1-26%

2-26%

3-24%

4-22%

5-20.6%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.6%

5-30.2%

0-40.3%

1-40.6%

2-40.6%

3-40.4%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

BURY FCWWLWLWLWWW2.10 PPG

BROMSGROVE SPORTINGLWWWWWWWWD2.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

BURY FC HOMExBROMSGROVE SPORTING AWAY

3.20SCORED A GAME1.700.90CONCEDED A GAME0.7050%CLEAN SHEETS50%22%FAILED TO SCORE0%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.78POINTS A GAME2.44+1.22GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.00–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.69LEAGUE GAMES9

Bromsgrove Sporting: the quality side - more points a game, better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

62%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

62%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

79%

NO · 85/90

BURY FC OR DRAW

42%

NO · 80/85

BROMSGROVE SPORTING OR DRAW

62%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

BURY FCxBROMSGROVE SPORTING

5GAMES52.60SCORED A GAME1.800.60CONCEDED A GAME0.603.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.460%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%20%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Bury FC have scored in 90% of their games.

Bromsgrove Sporting have scored in 100% of their games.

Bury FC kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

Bromsgrove Sporting kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards