Brackley Town FC vs Chelmsford City
Match details. FA Cup, 3rd Round Qualifying. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Brackley Town FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L L. In this competition Brackley Town FC have gone W. Chelmsford City have won two, drawn eight and lost none of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D D D. In this competition Chelmsford City have gone W.
The numbers. Brackley Town FC score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Brackley Town FC average 8.0 corners and 0.0 cards a game. Chelmsford City score 1.3 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 28% against the records' 57%.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 21%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Brackley Town FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Chelmsford City or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Brackley Town FC 1-1 Chelmsford City (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).