BTBED

15:00Sat 3 Oct

WIN

Bedford Town Football Club vs Wingate & Finchley

CLASS D

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. FA Cup, 3rd Round Qualifying. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Bedford Town Football Club have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W W. In this competition Bedford Town Football Club have gone W. Wingate & Finchley have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W L.

The numbers. Bedford Town Football Club score 1.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Wingate & Finchley score 2.3 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. Wingate & Finchley average 8.0 shots (4.5 on target), 3.5 corners and 1.0 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 66%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Bedford Town Football Club or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Wingate & Finchley or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Bedford Town Football Club 2-1 Wingate & Finchley (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.14

BED 5 of 6 (83%) · WIN 6 of 6 (100%)78.3%

Bedford Town Football Club: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · Wingate & Finchley: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 80%

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.46

BED 4 of 6 (67%) · WIN 4 of 6 (67%)55.8%

Bedford Town Football Club: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home · Wingate & Finchley: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 65%

WINGATE & FINCHLEY GOALS

Wingate & Finchley Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.36

BED 6 of 6 (100%) · WIN 5 of 6 (83%)73.3%

Wingate & Finchley scored in 6 of 6 away · Bedford Town Football Club conceded in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 85%

Left off the list: Bedford Town Football Club or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Wingate & Finchley or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Double Chance: Bedford Town Football Club or Wingate & Finchley (no result call); Wingate & Finchley or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Bedford Town Football Club or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 8.3%

Bedford Town Football… goals →

Wingate & Finchley goals ↓

0-04%

1-05%

2-05%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-15%

1-110%

2-18%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.7%

0-25%

1-28%

2-27%

3-24%

4-22%

5-20.6%

0-33%

1-35%

2-34%

3-32%

4-30.9%

5-30.3%

0-41%

1-42%

2-42%

3-40.9%

4-40.4%

5-40.1%

0-50.4%

1-50.6%

2-50.5%

3-50.3%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

BEDFORD TOWN FOOTBALL CLUBLWLWWWWLWD1.90 PPG

WINGATE & FINCHLEYWWLDWLWDWW2.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

BEDFORD TOWN FOOTBALL CLUB HOMExWINGATE & FINCHLEY AWAY

1.60SCORED A GAME1.801.40CONCEDED A GAME1.5020%CLEAN SHEETS40%10%FAILED TO SCORE25%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.50POINTS A GAME1.38-0.10GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.62–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–2.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.810LEAGUE GAMES8

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

74%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

54%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

63%

NO · 85/90

BEDFORD TOWN FOOTBALL CLUB OR DRAW

71%

NO · 80/85

WINGATE & FINCHLEY OR DRAW

61%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

BEDFORD TOWN FOOTBALL CLUBxWINGATE & FINCHLEY

5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME2.001.40CONCEDED A GAME2.603.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%80%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Bedford Town Football Club have scored in 100% of their games.

Wingate & Finchley have scored in 90% of their games.

Bedford Town Football Club kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Wingate & Finchley kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheets