Match details. FA Cup, 3rd Round Qualifying. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. AFC Rushden And Diamonds have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L D. In this competition AFC Rushden And Diamonds have gone W W. Braintree Town FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L W. In this competition Braintree Town FC have gone W D.
The numbers. AFC Rushden And Diamonds score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Braintree Town FC score 2.6 and concede 2.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); AFC Rushden And Diamonds Under 1.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: AFC Rushden And Diamonds 1-1 Braintree Town FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).