Brentwood Town FC vs Dagenham and Redbridge FC
Match details. FA Cup, 3rd Round Qualifying. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Brentwood Town FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W L. Dagenham and Redbridge FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L L. In this competition Dagenham and Redbridge FC have gone W D.
The numbers. Brentwood Town FC score three and concede 2.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Brentwood Town FC average 15.5 shots (6.5 on target), 7.5 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Dagenham and Redbridge FC score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Dagenham and Redbridge FC average 13.2 shots (5.7 on target), 7.2 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Brentwood Town FC the likelier winners, but Dagenham and Redbridge FC are the stronger side on form and the table.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Brentwood Town FC 2-1 Dagenham and Redbridge FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).