Match details. Worksop Town host FC United of Manchester in the FA Cup 3rd Round Qualifying. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct at 15:00 Lagos time. This clash will be played at Windsor Foodservice Stadium in Worksop, Nottinghamshire.
What's at stake. It is a straight shootout of one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Worksop Town have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, averaging 1.0 points a game. In this competition, they have gone W D. FC United of Manchester have also won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, averaging 1.0 points a game. They have gone W W in the cup.
The numbers. Worksop Town score 1.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, keeping one clean sheet and failing to score in two. They average 5.0 corners and 4.0 cards. FC United of Manchester score 1.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. They average 9.0 corners and 0.0 cards.
Head to head. In the last five meetings, Worksop Town have won three, drawn one and lost one. Two of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, Worksop won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 21 Dec 2024, it finished Worksop Town 1-1 FC United of Manchester.
Where it pulls both ways. FC United of Manchester are the form side, but the meetings favour Worksop Town. In the last five meetings, Worksop Town won three, FC United of Manchester won one and one was drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game, and their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%, but three of the last five meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals, as three of the last five meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to an open game, and their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Worksop Town or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); FC United of Manchester or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Worksop Town 1-2 FC United of Manchester (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).