OCORI

17:00Sun 4 Oct

CDC

Orihuela CF vs CD Cieza

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Segunda Federacion. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.

Form. Orihuela CF have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D W W. CD Cieza have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D W.

The numbers. Orihuela CF score one and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Orihuela CF average 10.4 shots (4.0 on target), 5.4 corners and 4.1 cards a game. CD Cieza score 1.8 and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. CD Cieza average 11.5 shots (3.8 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.9 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%.

The case against. Orihuela CF's record still gives them 27% to win.

The read. CD Cieza to win. Their goals for and against make CD Cieza the likelier winners; CD Cieza are the stronger side on form and the table.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Orihuela CF 0-1 CD Cieza (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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ORI 8 of 8 (100%) · CDC 4 of 5 (80%)91.7%

Orihuela CF: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Cieza: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Orihuela CF: only games against sides at CD Cieza's level

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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ORI 8 of 8 (100%) · CDC 4 of 5 (80%)91.7%

Orihuela CF: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Cieza: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Orihuela CF: only games against sides at CD Cieza's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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ORI 7 of 8 (88%) · CDC 4 of 5 (80%)85.4%

Orihuela CF: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Cieza: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · Orihuela CF: only games against sides at CD Cieza's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

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ORI 5 of 8 (62%) · CDC 3 of 5 (60%)61.3%

Orihuela CF: both scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Cieza: both scored in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 61% · Orihuela CF: only games against sides at CD Cieza's level

ORIHUELA CF GOALS

Orihuela CF Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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ORI 6 of 8 (75%) · CDC 4 of 5 (80%)75.8%

Orihuela CF scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Cieza conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 72% · Orihuela CF: only games against sides at CD Cieza's level

CD CIEZA GOALS

CD Cieza Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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ORI 3 of 5 (60%) · CDC 7 of 8 (88%)77.1%

CD Cieza scored in 3 of 5 away · Orihuela CF conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · Orihuela CF: only games against sides at CD Cieza's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

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ORI 7 of 7 (100%) · CDC 6 of 8 (75%)87.5%

Orihuela CF's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CD Cieza's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Orihuela CF: only games against sides at CD Cieza's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 10%

Orihuela CF goals →

CD Cieza goals ↓

0-07%

1-06%

2-04%

3-01%

4-00.4%

5-00.1%

0-110%

1-112%

2-16%

3-12%

4-10.6%

5-10.1%

0-29%

1-210%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.5%

5-20.1%

0-35%

1-35%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-42%

1-42%

2-41%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.6%

1-50.7%

2-50.4%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

ORIHUELA CFLLLWWWWDDL1.40 PPG

CD CIEZAWDDDWWDWLD1.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ORIHUELA CF HOMExCD CIEZA AWAY

1.30SCORED A GAME1.601.50CONCEDED A GAME0.8010%CLEAN SHEETS30%5.38CORNERS A GAME4.624.12CARDS A GAME2.88

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

63%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

36%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

90%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

ORIHUELA CF OR DRAW

74%

NO · 80/85

CD CIEZA OR DRAW

51%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TRENDS

Orihuela CF have scored in 80% of their games.

CD Cieza have scored in 80% of their games.

Orihuela CF kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

CD Cieza kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards