UD Barbastro vs Utebo FC
Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 2 - 5. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. UD Barbastro are 12th on 5 points after 4 games, 1 point behind Reddis, level on points with Utebo. A win would take them above Reddis. Utebo FC are 13th on 5 points after 4 games, level on points with Barbastro, level on points with UD Logroñés II. A win would take them above Barbastro.
Form. UD Barbastro have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W W. Utebo FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D L.
The numbers. UD Barbastro score 1.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. UD Barbastro average 9.5 shots (3.0 on target), 5.9 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Utebo FC score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Utebo FC average 7.0 shots (2.8 on target), 2.2 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings UD Barbastro have won one, drawn six and lost three. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, two were drawn and Utebo FC won two. The last time they met, on 26 Jan 2025, it finished UD Barbastro 0-0 Utebo FC.
Where it pulls both ways. UD Barbastro are the form side, but the meetings favour Utebo FC: in the last ten meetings, UD Barbastro won one, Utebo FC won three and six were drawn.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: UD Barbastro or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Utebo FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: UD Barbastro 1-1 Utebo FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).