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SPAIN - SEGUNDA FEDERACION
CD Arnedo crestCACDA
16:00Sun 4 Oct
CDECD Ebro crestCE

CD Arnedo vs CD Ebro

CLASS E
Pick cardFull analysisShare
THE READ

Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 2 - 5. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. CD Arnedo are 18th on 0 points after 4 games, 1 point behind Náxara. A win would take them above Náxara. CD Ebro are 7th on 7 points after 4 games, level on points with Tudelano, level on points with Terrassa. A win would take them above Tudelano.

Form. CD Arnedo have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W. CD Ebro have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D L.

The numbers. CD Arnedo score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. CD Arnedo average 10.0 shots (4.2 on target), 3.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game. CD Ebro score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. CD Ebro average 9.4 shots (2.4 on target), 4.4 corners and 3.0 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: CD Ebro are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour CD Arnedo.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CD Arnedo 1-1 CD Ebro (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDA 5 of 5 (100%) · CDE 5 of 5 (100%)100%
CD Arnedo: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · CD Ebro: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · CD Ebro: only games against sides at CD Arnedo's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDA 3 of 5 (60%) · CDE 5 of 5 (100%)80%
CD Arnedo: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · CD Ebro: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · CD Ebro: only games against sides at CD Arnedo's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDA 4 of 6 (67%) · CDE 4 of 5 (80%)73.3%
CD Arnedo's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · CD Ebro's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · CD Ebro: only games against sides at CD Arnedo's level
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.7%
CD Arnedo goals →
CD Ebro goals ↓
0-09%
1-010%
2-06%
3-03%
4-00.8%
5-00.2%
0-110%
1-114%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.6%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.8%
1-41%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.2%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
CD ARNEDOWWDWLWLLLL1.30 PPG
CD EBRODDWWLLDWLW1.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CD ARNEDO HOMExCD EBRO AWAY
0.90SCORED A GAME1.001.70CONCEDED A GAME1.0040%CLEAN SHEETS30%50%FAILED TO SCORE25%3.33CORNERS A GAME4.402.00CARDS A GAME3.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
63%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
50%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
73%
NO · 85/90
CD ARNEDO OR DRAW
59%
NO · 80/85
CD EBRO OR DRAW
68%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
TRENDS
CD Arnedo have scored in 60% of their games.
CD Ebro have scored in 70% of their games.
CD Arnedo kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
CD Ebro kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards
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