Match details. Segunda Federacion. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. CA Osasuna B have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W L. CF Calamocha have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L W.
The numbers. CA Osasuna B score 1.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. CA Osasuna B average 9.9 shots (3.4 on target), 2.0 corners and 2.7 cards a game. CF Calamocha score 0.8 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and five games without a goal. CF Calamocha average 1.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
The case against. CF Calamocha's record still gives them 37% to win.
The read. CA Osasuna B to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CA Osasuna B the likelier winners; CA Osasuna B are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CA Osasuna B. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CF Calamocha or Under 2.5 Goals (the call backs CA Osasuna B); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CA Osasuna B 1-0 CF Calamocha (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).