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SPAIN - SEGUNDA FEDERACION
Bergantinos FC crestBFBER
16:00Sun 4 Oct
CORCoruxo FC crestCF

Bergantinos FC vs Coruxo FC

CLASS E
THE READ

Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 1 - 5. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Bergantinos FC are 3rd on 10 points after 4 games, 2 points behind Deportivo Alavés II, 1 point clear of Sestao River. A win would take them above Deportivo Alavés II. Coruxo FC are 11th on 5 points after 4 games, 1 point behind Marino de Luanco, 1 point clear of Compostela. A win would take them above Marino de Luanco.

Form. Bergantinos FC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W. Coruxo FC have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W D.

The numbers. Bergantinos FC score two and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Bergantinos FC average 12.7 shots (3.8 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Coruxo FC score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Coruxo FC average 9.7 shots (4.4 on target), 4.0 corners and 3.9 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last eight meetings Bergantinos FC have won one, drawn two and lost five. Two of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Bergantinos FC won one and Coruxo FC won three. The last time they met, on 29 Mar 2026, it finished Bergantinos FC 0-1 Coruxo FC.

Where it pulls both ways. Bergantinos FC are the form side, but the meetings favour Coruxo FC: in the last eight meetings, Bergantinos FC won one, Coruxo FC won five and two were drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%; six of the last eight meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Six of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Bergantinos FC 1-1 Coruxo FC (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BER 8 of 8 (100%) · COR 5 of 5 (100%)100%
Bergantinos FC: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Coruxo FC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · Bergantinos FC: only games against sides at Coruxo FC's level · Coruxo FC: only games against sides at Bergantinos FC's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BER 6 of 8 (75%) · COR 5 of 5 (100%)90.6%
Bergantinos FC: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Coruxo FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 88% · H2H 6 of 6 · Bergantinos FC: only games against sides at Coruxo FC's level · Coruxo FC: only games against sides at Bergantinos FC's level
HALVES
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BER 7 of 8 (88%) · COR 3 of 5 (60%)64.9%
Bergantinos FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Coruxo FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 79% · H2H 2 of 6 · on half-time scores · Bergantinos FC: only games against sides at Coruxo FC's level · Coruxo FC: only games against sides at Bergantinos FC's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BER 4 of 5 (80%) · COR 6 of 7 (86%)82.9%
Bergantinos FC's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Coruxo FC's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Bergantinos FC: only games against sides at Coruxo FC's level · Coruxo FC: only games against sides at Bergantinos FC's level
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 12.6%
Bergantinos FC goals →
Coruxo FC goals ↓
0-07%
1-09%
2-07%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-25%
1-27%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.1%
0-40.6%
1-40.9%
2-40.7%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.2%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
BERGANTINOS FCLWLWDWWLWW1.90 PPG
CORUXO FCLWDWLDWDLD1.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
BERGANTINOS FC HOMExCORUXO FC AWAY
2.20SCORED A GAME1.401.00CONCEDED A GAME1.3040%CLEAN SHEETS10%0%FAILED TO SCORE0%4.67CORNERS A GAME4.002.33CARDS A GAME3.86
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
86%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
50%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
90%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
BERGANTINOS FC OR DRAW
74%
NO · 80/85
CORUXO FC OR DRAW
34%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 8
BERGANTINOS FC 1 · 12%DRAW 2CORUXO FC 5 · 62%
2 of 8BOTH TEAMS SCORED
3 of 8OVER 1.5 GOALS
2 of 8OVER 2.5 GOALS
0 of 8OVER 3.5 GOALS
2021-11-27Bergantinos FC 0 – 0 Coruxo FC
2022-04-16Bergantinos FC 0 – 1 Coruxo FC
2023-01-08Bergantinos FC 0 – 3 Coruxo FC
2023-05-07Bergantinos FC 1 – 1 Coruxo FC
2024-09-15Bergantinos FC 1 – 2 Coruxo FC
2025-01-25Bergantinos FC 0 – 1 Coruxo FC
2025-10-12Bergantinos FC 1 – 0 Coruxo FC
2026-03-29Bergantinos FC 0 – 1 Coruxo FC
TRENDS
Bergantinos FC have scored in 80% of their games.
Coruxo FC have scored in 80% of their games.
Bergantinos FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Coruxo FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards
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