CACDA

11:00Sun 4 Oct

UDP

CD Atletico Baleares vs UD Poblense

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 3 - 5. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Balear, Palma.

What's at stake. CD Atletico Baleares are 16th on 2 points after 4 games, 1 point behind Real Murcia II, 1 point clear of Valencia II. A win would take them above Real Murcia II. UD Poblense are 14th on 3 points after 4 games, 1 point behind Elche II, level on points with Real Murcia II. A win would take them above Elche II.

Form. CD Atletico Baleares have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L W. UD Poblense have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L D.

The numbers. CD Atletico Baleares score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. CD Atletico Baleares average 9.9 shots (3.4 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.4 cards a game. UD Poblense score 0.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. UD Poblense average 5.5 shots (2.0 on target), 3.0 corners and 4.0 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last four meetings CD Atletico Baleares have won one, drawn two and lost one. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. The last time they met, on 22 Feb 2026, it finished CD Atletico Baleares 0-0 UD Poblense.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CD Atletico Baleares 1-1 UD Poblense (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDA 10 of 10 (100%) · UDP 5 of 5 (100%)100%

CD Atletico Baleares: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UD Poblense: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · H2H 4 of 4 · CD Atletico Baleares: only games against sides at UD Poblense's level · UD Poblense: only games against sides at CD Atletico Baleares's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDA 9 of 10 (90%) · UDP 5 of 5 (100%)92.1%

CD Atletico Baleares: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UD Poblense: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 3 of 4 · CD Atletico Baleares: only games against sides at UD Poblense's level · UD Poblense: only games against sides at CD Atletico Baleares's level

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDA 7 of 10 (70%) · UDP 4 of 5 (80%)75%

CD Atletico Baleares: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UD Poblense: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 3 of 4 · CD Atletico Baleares: only games against sides at UD Poblense's level · UD Poblense: only games against sides at CD Atletico Baleares's level

HALVES

1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDA 9 of 10 (90%) · UDP 4 of 5 (80%)88.6%

CD Atletico Baleares: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UD Poblense: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 4 of 4 · on half-time scores · CD Atletico Baleares: only games against sides at UD Poblense's level · UD Poblense: only games against sides at CD Atletico Baleares's level

1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDA 6 of 10 (60%) · UDP 3 of 5 (60%)62.1%

CD Atletico Baleares: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UD Poblense: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · H2H 3 of 4 · on half-time scores · CD Atletico Baleares: only games against sides at UD Poblense's level · UD Poblense: only games against sides at CD Atletico Baleares's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.7%

CD Atletico Baleares goals →

UD Poblense goals ↓

0-011%

1-013%

2-09%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-19%

1-114%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-25%

1-26%

2-24%

3-22%

4-20.6%

5-20.2%

0-31%

1-32%

2-31%

3-30.5%

4-30.2%

5-30.0%

0-40.3%

1-40.4%

2-40.3%

3-40.1%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

CD ATLETICO BALEARESWWWDLWLDLD1.50 PPG

UD POBLENSEWLWWDDLLLW1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CD ATLETICO BALEARES HOMExUD POBLENSE AWAY

1.40SCORED A GAME0.901.20CONCEDED A GAME1.0030%CLEAN SHEETS40%25%FAILED TO SCORE50%5.00CORNERS A GAME3.002.43CARDS A GAME4.00

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4

CD ATLETICO BALEARES 1 · 25%DRAW 2UD POBLENSE 1 · 25%

3 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED

3 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS

2 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS

2020-12-13CD Atletico Baleares 2 – 3 UD Poblense

2021-03-14CD Atletico Baleares 1 – 1 UD Poblense

2025-11-23CD Atletico Baleares 2 – 1 UD Poblense

2026-02-22CD Atletico Baleares 0 – 0 UD Poblense

TRENDS

CD Atletico Baleares have scored in 90% of their games.

UD Poblense have scored in 60% of their games.

CD Atletico Baleares kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

UD Poblense kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards