Club Deportiva Minera vs CF La Nucia
Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 3 - 5. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 10:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Club Deportiva Minera are 10th on 5 points after 4 games, level on points with Cieza, level on points with Lorca Deportiva. A win would take them above Cieza. CF La Nucia are 1st on 12 points after 4 games, level on points with Castellón II.
Form. Club Deportiva Minera have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D W L. CF La Nucia have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W.
The numbers. Club Deportiva Minera score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Club Deportiva Minera average 12.4 shots (5.1 on target), 5.9 corners and 2.3 cards a game. CF La Nucia score 1.5 and concede 0.4 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and two games without a goal. CF La Nucia average 10.1 shots (4.6 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
The case against. Club Deportiva Minera's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. CF La Nucia to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CF La Nucia the likelier winners; CF La Nucia are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CF La Nucia. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 28%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 2.5 Goals at 1.57, 72% on the records (Club Deportiva Minera: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; CF La Nucia: under 2.5 goals in 8 of 10). Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Club Deportiva Minera 0-1 CF La Nucia (16% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).