Club Portugalete vs Deportivo Alaves B
Match details. Segunda Federacion. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. Club Portugalete have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W W. Deportivo Alaves B have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L L.
The numbers. Club Portugalete score 1.6 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Club Portugalete average 10.8 shots (2.8 on target), 6.2 corners and 3.2 cards a game. Deportivo Alaves B score 2.2 and concede one a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. Deportivo Alaves B average 2.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
The case against. Club Portugalete's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. Deportivo Alaves B to win. An open game. Deportivo Alaves B are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Deportivo Alaves B. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 69%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Deportivo Alaves B or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Deportivo Alaves B to Win (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Club Portugalete 1-2 Deportivo Alaves B (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).