Pena Sport FC vs SD Logrones
Match details. Segunda Federacion. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Pena Sport FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D W. SD Logrones have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L W.
The numbers. Pena Sport FC score 2.2 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Pena Sport FC average 3.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game. SD Logrones score one and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. SD Logrones average 10.0 shots (3.3 on target), 5.3 corners and 4.3 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 37% against the records' 60%.
The read. No firm call: Pena Sport FC are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Pena Sport FC the likelier winners; Pena Sport FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Pena Sport FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Pena Sport FC 1-1 SD Logrones (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).