CD Basconia vs UD Llanera
Match details. Segunda Federacion. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. CD Basconia have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L W. UD Llanera have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L W.
The numbers. CD Basconia score 3.3 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. CD Basconia average 10.6 shots (3.9 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.1 cards a game. UD Llanera score one and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. UD Llanera average 9.5 shots (4.0 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
The case against. UD Llanera's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. CD Basconia to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make CD Basconia the likelier winners; CD Basconia are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Basconia. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 74%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.67, 74% on the records (CD Basconia: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home; UD Llanera: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Leave: UD Llanera or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs CD Basconia); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: CD Basconia 2-1 UD Llanera (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).