Match details. Segunda Federacion. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Atletico Astorga FC have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L D. SD Amorebieta have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D W.
The numbers. Atletico Astorga FC score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Atletico Astorga FC average 10.6 shots (3.3 on target), 3.8 corners and 3.6 cards a game. SD Amorebieta score 1.8 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. SD Amorebieta average 8.8 shots (3.3 on target), 2.8 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
The case against. Atletico Astorga FC's record still gives them 28% to win.
The read. SD Amorebieta to win. A tight game. SD Amorebieta are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour SD Amorebieta. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or SD Amorebieta at 1.36, 72% on the records (SD Amorebieta unbeaten in 4 of 5 away; Atletico Astorga FC failed to win 3 of 5 at home). Leave: SD Amorebieta or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); SD Amorebieta or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); SD Amorebieta 1UP (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Atletico Astorga FC 0-1 SD Amorebieta (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
SD Amorebieta or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 4 of 5 (80%) · SDA 4 of 5 (80%)80%
SD Amorebieta: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Atletico Astorga FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · SD Amorebieta: only games against sides at Atletico Astorga FC's level · Atletico Astorga FC: only games against sides at SD Amorebieta's level
Double Chance: Draw or SD AmorebietaMAININ CODES
1.36
ATL 4 of 5 (80%) · SDA 3 of 5 (60%)71.7%
SD Amorebieta unbeaten in 4 of 5 away · Atletico Astorga FC failed to win 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75% · SD Amorebieta: only games against sides at Atletico Astorga FC's level · Atletico Astorga FC: only games against sides at SD Amorebieta's level
SD Amorebieta (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.74
ATL 4 of 7 (57%) · SDA 6 of 8 (75%)66.1%
SD Amorebieta won 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Atletico Astorga FC lost 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 66% · SD Amorebieta: only games against sides at Atletico Astorga FC's level · Atletico Astorga FC: only games against sides at SD Amorebieta's level · won 5, refunded 2, lost 3
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 4 of 5 (80%) · SDA 4 of 5 (80%)83.3%
Atletico Astorga FC: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · SD Amorebieta: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Atletico Astorga FC: only games against sides at SD Amorebieta's level · SD Amorebieta: only games against sides at Atletico Astorga FC's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 4 of 5 (80%) · SDA 4 of 5 (80%)80%
Atletico Astorga FC: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · SD Amorebieta: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Atletico Astorga FC: only games against sides at SD Amorebieta's level · SD Amorebieta: only games against sides at Atletico Astorga FC's level
ATLETICO ASTORGA FC GOALS
Atletico Astorga FC Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 3 of 5 (60%) · SDA 3 of 5 (60%)61.7%
Atletico Astorga FC scored in 3 of 5 at home · SD Amorebieta conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · Atletico Astorga FC: only games against sides at SD Amorebieta's level · SD Amorebieta: only games against sides at Atletico Astorga FC's level
SD AMOREBIETA GOALS
SD Amorebieta Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 4 of 5 (80%) · SDA 2 of 5 (40%)65%
SD Amorebieta scored in 4 of 5 away · Atletico Astorga FC conceded in 2 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75% · SD Amorebieta: only games against sides at Atletico Astorga FC's level · Atletico Astorga FC: only games against sides at SD Amorebieta's level
HALVES
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 4 of 5 (80%) · SDA 5 of 5 (100%)91.7%
Atletico Astorga FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · SD Amorebieta: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · on half-time scores · Atletico Astorga FC: only games against sides at SD Amorebieta's level · SD Amorebieta: only games against sides at Atletico Astorga FC's level
1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 4 of 5 (80%) · SDA 4 of 5 (80%)76.7%
Atletico Astorga FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · SD Amorebieta: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores · Atletico Astorga FC: only games against sides at SD Amorebieta's level · SD Amorebieta: only games against sides at Atletico Astorga FC's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 7 of 9 (78%) · SDA 5 of 6 (83%)80.6%
Atletico Astorga FC's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · SD Amorebieta's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Atletico Astorga FC: only games against sides at SD Amorebieta's level · SD Amorebieta: only games against sides at Atletico Astorga FC's level
Left off the list: SD Amorebieta or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); SD Amorebieta or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); SD Amorebieta 1UP (the numbers (56%) and the records (80%) are 25 points apart, and nothing settles it); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); SD Amorebieta or Draw (1UP) (the numbers (72%) and the records (96%) are 24 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–19.4%
Atletico Astorga FC goals →
SD Amorebieta goals ↓
0-08%
1-08%
2-06%
3-02%
4-00.7%
5-00.2%
0-19%
1-113%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11.0%
5-10.2%
0-27%
1-29%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-34%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-41%
2-40.8%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.3%
1-50.4%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
ATLETICO ASTORGA FCLLLDWDLLWL0.80 PPG
SD AMOREBIETAWWLDDWDLWL1.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ATLETICO ASTORGA FC HOMExSD AMOREBIETA AWAY
1.20SCORED A GAME1.501.70CONCEDED A GAME1.1030%CLEAN SHEETS30%3.78CORNERS A GAME2.833.56CARDS A GAME3.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
63%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
38%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
90%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
ATLETICO ASTORGA FC OR DRAW
56%
NO · 80/85
SD AMOREBIETA OR DRAW
51%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
TRENDS
Atletico Astorga FC have scored in 60% of their games.
SD Amorebieta have scored in 80% of their games.
Atletico Astorga FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
SD Amorebieta kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards